PolyBot

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Traders

0xumbra

0x9c1e67fb9d50df2fc8d15984acf4b5f7aedab7d3

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$58.4k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$175.42

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · No0.7300.725$81.57−$0.56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.5600.610$43.10+$3.53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.7900.715$39.74−$4.17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1400.095$11.02−$5.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) · FURIA0.7400.000$0.00−$20.00
Mavericks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets0.8390.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.5290.000$0.00−$21.88
Spurs vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$9.27
Suns vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$48.53
Kings vs. Heat · Heat0.7800.000$0.00−$30.00
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Yakult Brothers (BO1) · Team Falcons0.8100.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 04:31Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.79$43.91
10-03 04:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.95$90.25
10-02 23:59Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.73$82.13
10-02 23:59Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.56$39.56
10-02 23:59Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.988$131.43
10-02 08:48Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.852$5.11
10-02 08:00Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.76$16.74
10-02 07:53Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.5469817732$53.12
10-02 07:15Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.915$5.49
10-02 07:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.6773593385$37.68
10-02 07:06Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.77$42.84
10-02 06:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.3730119634$21.20
10-02 06:52Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.83$78.85
10-02 05:43Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.58$11.02
10-02 05:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.3966832057$83.95