0xumbra
0x9c1e67fb9d50df2fc8d15984acf4b5f7aedab7d3
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $58.4k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $175.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.13at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$133.39at 0.236Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$81.70at 0.800Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
- +$79.33at 0.822Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?
- +$73.45at 0.641Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $43.91 |
| 10-03 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $90.25 |
| 10-02 23:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $82.13 |
| 10-02 23:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $39.56 |
| 10-02 23:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $131.43 |
| 10-02 08:48 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.852 | $5.11 |
| 10-02 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $16.74 |
| 10-02 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.5469817732 | $53.12 |
| 10-02 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.915 | $5.49 |
| 10-02 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.6773593385 | $37.68 |
| 10-02 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $42.84 |
| 10-02 06:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.3730119634 | $21.20 |
| 10-02 06:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $78.85 |
| 10-02 05:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.02 |
| 10-02 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.3966832057 | $83.95 |