PolyBot

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Traders

Sony237

0xed92af444ca73cada013610e192e9fa70cf45c02

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$66.6k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$282.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.5650.610$249.19+$18.19
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1210.095$33.45−$9.20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$1.37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$606.03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$187.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00−$45.11
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$3.82
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026? · No0.0670.000$0.00−$3.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 23:43Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.1211382999$42.65
10-01 23:43Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.5654713334$231.00
10-01 23:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.2174236577$198.86
10-01 18:12Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.0958557335$85.41
09-30 16:06Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.4099999997$375.00
09-30 16:04Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2847144188$253.68
09-29 16:22Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.999$899.18
09-28 16:09Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.3099999996$28.50
09-28 16:08Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?SELL0.999$37.46
09-28 12:07Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?BUY0.5$18.75
09-27 19:10Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2675089021$216.36
09-27 19:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.449957721$405.00
09-25 16:02Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.999$848.43
09-25 07:55Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.0516980867$44.12
09-24 16:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.0127891419$10.65