PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xPoni-Elon

0x01a4b8ff7fc23398323b2ce1f0d95333d34d4967

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$813.7k
Markets traded
406
Open portfolio
$881.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded406
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.5840.610$436.70+$18.33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · No0.7300.725$407.88−$2.81
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1410.095$33.04−$16.12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1900.155$4.08−$0.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? · No0.2230.000$0.00−$185.01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026? · Yes0.3990.000$0.00−$1.28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$28.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.4580.000$0.00−$603.80
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$4.68
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$510.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$4.90
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$31.30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$43.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00−$89.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 09:30Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.017$0.43
10-03 08:01Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.056$1.40
10-03 04:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.0502021261$13.93
10-03 01:22Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.73$410.69
10-03 01:22Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.56$27.24
10-03 00:02Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.1262834234$35.04
10-02 23:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.989$544.29
10-02 17:25Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.7853166282$432.18
10-02 16:04Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?SELL0.1041576898$16.05
10-02 15:42Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.1229349773$18.94
10-02 14:28Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.83$128.74
10-02 12:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.83$92.92
10-02 12:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.83$92.92
10-02 08:19Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.4189313195$29.40
10-02 07:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.7076229921$196.48