iamcj2025
0xb1a9598e3bdd70ffdfc61c70514a839fc141924e
- Realised P&L
- $238.33
- Volume
- $111.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $95.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.775 | $95.68 | −$4.32 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.666 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.12 |
| St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper de Jong · Andrea Guerrieri | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Boscardin Dias · Franco Roncadelli | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Detroit Tigers | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.64at 0.495Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$390.13at 0.768Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$375.17at 0.849Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
- +$345.94at 0.903Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$315.72at 0.775Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:18 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 20:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.1908798926 | $36.97 |
| 09-30 15:30 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $88.05 |
| 09-30 15:30 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9899004091 | $70.17 |
| 09-29 16:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7551859388 | $67.58 |
| 09-29 16:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.829290468 | $58.79 |
| 09-29 16:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $43.63 |
| 09-29 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2581788064 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $69.17 |
| 09-28 22:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.6952962723 | $48.78 |
| 09-28 22:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 18:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $92.89 |
| 09-26 08:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999995 | $48.98 |
| 09-26 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.9403431503 | $49.49 |
| 09-25 16:06 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999992 | $40.00 |