0x2ef2887692386bebad6ef3df9fd3d0e223047f72
0x2ef2887692386bebad6ef3df9fd3d0e223047f72
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $10.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,835
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,835
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.020Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.020Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.142Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.021Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.020Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:04 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.772 | $4.0k |
| 10-30 07:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.235 | $1.27 |
| 10-30 04:24 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.841 | $4.94 |
| 10-30 02:20 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7529773858 | $33.30 |
| 10-28 12:34 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $662.96 |
| 10-28 08:01 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.681323 | $136.26 |
| 10-26 18:33 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.86 | $344.00 |
| 10-26 17:23 | LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 10-25 17:30 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 10-25 07:10 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9089655074 | $3.5k |
| 10-23 19:49 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 10-23 19:35 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 10-23 19:32 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.63 | $126.00 |
| 10-23 17:43 | LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.73 | $365.00 |
| 10-21 09:33 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.0k |