0x8e15585F7b2e22851b839B6d3ceE8CBa2d5FA0ee-1774521864337
0x8e15585f7b2e22851b839b6d3cee8cba2d5fa0ee
- Realised P&L
- $-170.94
- Volume
- $71.5k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$473.36at 0.170Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$464.42at 0.524Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
- +$462.69at 0.623Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
- +$462.56at 0.490Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
- +$309.76at 0.294US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0441999659 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 17:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $150.00 |
| 09-17 17:29 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 17:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2647333935 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 17:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $120.00 |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0892826495 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 19:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3888462925 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 17:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3477296147 | $120.00 |
| 09-16 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $6.21 |
| 09-16 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2531518792 | $70.00 |