0x8e15585F7b2e22851b839B6d3ceE8CBa2d5FA0ee-1774521864337
0x8e15585f7b2e22851b839b6d3cee8cba2d5fa0ee
- Realised P&L
- $-298.00
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.509 | 0.415 | $407.38 | −$92.62 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.635 | $403.17 | +$3.18 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes | 0.592 | 0.775 | $392.96 | +$92.96 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.190 | $207.70 | +$107.70 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.675 | $134.60 | +$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? · No | 0.501 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$279.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$472.67at 0.480Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
- +$302.34at 0.596Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
- +$274.35at 0.621Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
- +$247.38at 0.490Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$160.94at 0.653Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:23 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999977 | $80.00 |
| 08-02 10:37 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.5916603501 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 19:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5394605387 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 19:35 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-31 17:35 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $53.60 |
| 07-31 15:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0914791937 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 17:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-28 07:29 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $83.73 |
| 07-24 08:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.5317630516 | $134.25 |
| 07-24 08:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.5095492996 | $92.76 |
| 07-23 20:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.5647881248 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 17:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 09:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.5492762242 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 09:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.0376267965 | $11.05 |
| 07-21 15:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5031358787 | $6.00 |