Oscar466466
0xb4772aaa9275dc1d900b91ce58e6d956b51da660
- Realised P&L
- $-58.61
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $54.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.94at 0.482Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$18.25at 0.311Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$12.83at 0.759Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?
- +$11.94at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$11.82at 0.691Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999921 | $26.25 |
| 09-26 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6053435068 | $26.00 |
| 09-25 15:20 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $18.43 |
| 09-25 10:58 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 20:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999925 | $28.10 |
| 09-21 18:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4087833825 | $33.60 |
| 09-20 13:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999843 | $26.00 |
| 09-16 15:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999853 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 15:56 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 21:15 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $23.34 |
| 08-18 12:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999908 | $21.65 |
| 08-18 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3289999643 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 08-14 18:46 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:24 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999454 | $3.00 |