PolyBot

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Traders

Oscar466466

0xb4772aaa9275dc1d900b91ce58e6d956b51da660

Realised P&L
$-58.61
Volume
$24.6k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$54.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5200.555$28.02+$1.77
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Yes0.6050.615$26.41+$0.41
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 19:19Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?BUY0.5199999921$26.25
09-26 19:19Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?BUY0.6053435068$26.00
09-25 15:20Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.1099999997$18.43
09-25 10:58Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.75$40.00
09-21 20:13Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.4699999925$28.10
09-21 18:40Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.4087833825$33.60
09-20 13:12Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.6799999843$26.00
09-16 15:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.5499999853$15.00
09-16 15:56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
08-18 21:15Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?BUY0.001$23.34
08-18 12:09Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?BUY0.5699999908$21.65
08-18 12:08Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.3289999643$5.00
08-15 19:05Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?BUY0.269999937$3.00
08-14 18:46Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
08-13 16:24Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?BUY0.6299999454$3.00