Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.10 to 0.27. 46 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	217	217
0.11	1,473	1,691
0.12	1,008	2,699
0.13	1,420	4,119
0.14	976	5,095
0.15	1,052	6,147
0.16	834	6,981
0.17	559	7,540
0.18	490	8,030
0.19	1,176	9,206
0.20	851	10,057
0.21	20	10,077

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	231	231
0.08	1,546	1,777
0.07	2,279	4,056
0.06	2,436	6,492
0.05	4,738	11,230
0.04	6,565	17,795
0.03	32,068	49,863
0.02	355	50,218
0.01	3,980	54,199

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	231	231
0.92	1,546	1,777
0.93	2,279	4,056
0.94	2,436	6,492
0.95	4,738	11,230
0.96	6,565	17,795
0.97	32,068	49,863
0.98	355	50,218
0.99	3,980	54,199

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	217	217
0.89	1,473	1,691
0.88	1,008	2,699
0.87	1,420	4,119
0.86	976	5,095
0.85	1,052	6,147
0.84	834	6,981
0.83	559	7,540
0.82	490	8,030
0.81	1,176	9,206
0.80	851	10,057
0.79	20	10,077

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Mei-ji	Yes	3,791.38
TweetPulse.Live	Yes	2,115.81
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	2,000
Mr.Frog🐸	Yes	1,999.99
NBALOL	Yes	1,037.44
smalltimezzz	Yes	576.13
Sony237	Yes	352.08
0xPoni-Elon	Yes	347.78
mqpcd	Yes	250
Stitches	Yes	210
0xumbra	Yes	115.98
Vvm8	Yes	100
reefv	Yes	100
MartinPNZ	Yes	80
CaprioDiLeo	Yes	77.76
WanderingPanda	Yes	68
11a52fb9b05c	Yes	58.81
Demet3r	Yes	50
oboltusovao	Yes	50
donthackme	Yes	47.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:47:38	SELL	Yes	0.09	2	$0.18
13:44:32	SELL	Yes	0.09	5	$0.45
13:43:20	SELL	Yes	0.09	33	$2.97
13:33:24	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
12:30:29	SELL	Yes	0.09	5	$0.45
12:24:29	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
12:07:05	BUY	Yes	0.1	30	$3.00
11:24:36	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
10:59:30	BUY	No	0.91	200	$182.00
10:58:14	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.82
10:07:39	BUY	Yes	0.1	60	$6.00
09:57:12	BUY	No	0.9099999991	55	$50.00
09:37:39	BUY	No	0.9099999991	44	$40.00
09:18:54	BUY	No	0.91	15	$13.65
09:18:54	BUY	No	0.91	107	$97.37
09:18:54	BUY	No	0.91	5	$4.56
09:18:53	BUY	No	0.9068206667	150	$136.02
09:18:53	BUY	No	0.9	40	$36.00
08:59:12	BUY	Yes	0.1	22	$2.23
08:51:32	BUY	Yes	0.1	12	$1.16
08:51:30	BUY	No	0.9099998877	2	$1.62
08:51:30	BUY	No	0.9099993906	1	$1.09
08:51:30	BUY	Yes	0.109999989	9	$1.00
08:44:42	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
07:53:12	BUY	No	0.9	100	$90.00