11a52fb9b05c
0x8cf1459947583e9838bb7e68074a1f453629e413
- Realised P&L
- $-286.67
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $10.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.66at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$20.50at 0.198Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$18.83at 0.612Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$17.05at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$10.74at 0.582Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:06 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.02 |
| 10-02 18:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1291498045 | $7.60 |
| 10-02 05:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3978728814 | $9.39 |
| 09-26 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $59.89 |
| 09-26 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5022487575 | $63.50 |
| 09-26 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $15.47 |
| 09-25 20:56 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $17.10 |
| 09-25 14:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.082 | $1.13 |
| 09-23 02:24 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $14.92 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.90 |
| 09-22 13:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999939 | $13.30 |
| 09-22 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5550598086 | $9.28 |
| 09-22 00:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5165192084 | $4.44 |
| 09-22 00:10 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.31 |
| 09-21 22:49 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |