PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

11a52fb9b05c

0x8cf1459947583e9838bb7e68074a1f453629e413

Realised P&L
$-286.67
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$10.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.1290.095$5.59−$2.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.6300.645$5.14+$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · No0.3980.002$0.04−$9.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$59.89
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$29.84
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00−$4.44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$9.22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · No0.3010.000$0.00−$8.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.5020.000$0.00−$63.50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.70
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$2.30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$2.90
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · No0.4250.000$0.00−$20.85
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$16.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 09:06Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.63$5.02
10-02 18:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.1291498045$7.60
10-02 05:26Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.3978728814$9.39
09-26 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.5$59.89
09-26 14:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.5022487575$63.50
09-26 13:48Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?SELL0.19$15.47
09-25 20:56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?BUY0.21$17.10
09-25 14:21Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.082$1.13
09-23 02:24Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.61$14.92
09-22 14:18Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.34$2.90
09-22 13:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.4299999939$13.30
09-22 04:12Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.5550598086$9.28
09-22 00:10Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.5165192084$4.44
09-22 00:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.41$3.31
09-21 22:49Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.649999974$5.00