Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.085. up 0.069 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.016 to 0.198. 33 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.088	20	20
0.089	57	77
0.090	11	88
0.093	5	93
0.094	6	99
0.097	20	119
0.098	72	191
0.100	303	494
0.103	10	504
0.112	5	509
0.116	9	518
0.128	8	526

Spread0.008Mid0.084

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.080	4,708	4,708
0.079	5	4,713
0.077	51	4,764
0.071	33	4,797
0.070	50	4,847
0.062	16	4,863
0.055	111	4,974
0.046	22	4,996
0.031	25	5,022
0.030	73	5,095
0.029	100	5,195
0.028	436	5,630

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.920	4,708	4,708
0.921	5	4,713
0.923	51	4,764
0.929	33	4,797
0.930	50	4,847
0.938	16	4,863
0.945	111	4,974
0.954	22	4,996
0.969	25	5,022
0.970	73	5,095
0.971	100	5,195
0.972	436	5,630

Spread0.008Mid0.916

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.912	20	20
0.911	57	77
0.910	11	88
0.907	5	93
0.906	6	99
0.903	20	119
0.902	72	191
0.900	303	494
0.897	10	504
0.888	5	509
0.884	9	518
0.872	8	526

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Demet3r	Yes	300
dddtrips	Yes	296.93
Zenef	Yes	250
triple-purple	Yes	188.49
Berlin4	Yes	128.5
2B9S	Yes	54.99
IgorBgd	Yes	50.09
WanderingPanda	Yes	39.47
TheGreatBeta	Yes	27
0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715	Yes	21.59
triklozoid	Yes	20
TENETENET	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,085.51
CaprioDiLeo	No	189
Panopticon007	No	34
edgewarehouse	No	29
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	No	22.96
ChansonBalladee	No	9
SmartBoyBilly	No	6
a5533	No	5.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:18:30	BUY	No	0.9412393333	30	$28.24
23:18:19	BUY	Yes	0.1061060262	188	$20.00
22:18:43	BUY	Yes	0.0661772555	28	$1.85
17:08:54	SELL	Yes	0.076	56	$4.26
17:06:31	BUY	No	0.924	1	$1.00
12:11:54	BUY	Yes	0.0900004715	297	$26.72
11:50:22	SELL	Yes	0.0292832861	18	$0.52
09:32:21	BUY	Yes	0.056	47	$2.63
09:26:42	BUY	Yes	0.056	62	$3.46
08:24:03	SELL	Yes	0.022	50	$1.09
05:23:48	BUY	No	0.9779999883	1	$1.00
05:23:45	BUY	No	0.977	20	$19.54
02:44:12	BUY	No	0.977	10	$9.77
00:05:22	SELL	No	0.91	6	$5.46
23:45:42	BUY	Yes	0.3992929958	50	$20.00
23:43:28	BUY	No	0.9779999995	17	$16.41
23:43:28	BUY	No	0.978	25	$24.45
17:27:12	BUY	Yes	0.1132791492	18	$2.00
16:39:54	BUY	Yes	0.0155642023	129	$2.00
16:30:06	BUY	No	0.999	100	$99.90