Panopticon007
0x07cf80fbecbb58e23d5ed977af7be3c09e7aa9fa
- Realised P&L
- $9.6k
- Volume
- $3.15M
- Markets traded
- 1,508
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,508
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.511 | $2.6k | +$57.50 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.847 | $2.5k | +$1.0k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.488 | $2.4k | −$57.50 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.153 | $460.50 | −$1.0k |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.095 | $17.09 | +$8.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.018 | $5.24 | +$3.74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.024 | $5.15 | +$3.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.029Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.126Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.533Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.775Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.021Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279241706 | $5.89 |
| 09-21 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0244309252 | $19.28 |
| 09-05 17:04 | Will AfD win 50 or more seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.003823793 | $4.57 |
| 09-05 16:59 | Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 09-05 15:56 | Will AfD win 50 or more seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.022778571 | $17.49 |
| 09-05 15:56 | Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.56 |
| 09-02 13:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |
| 09-02 13:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $2.18 |
| 09-02 13:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.059 | $12.27 |
| 09-02 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0569577185 | $13.47 |
| 08-19 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.32 |
| 08-19 15:25 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.2485194585 | $11.75 |
| 08-18 14:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $15.91 |
| 08-18 14:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.152 | $12.91 |
| 08-16 01:22 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0161822008 | $6.84 |