PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Berlin4

0x2a70127e598f101fe932725584cf0905cb72167d

Realised P&L
$-10.21
Volume
$58.0k
Markets traded
528
Open portfolio
$53.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded528
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0050.028$11.20+$9.20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.0090.065$10.28+$8.92
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0080.028$6.88+$4.88
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.0340.112$6.53+$4.53
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0140.052$5.22+$3.82
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0130.050$4.76+$3.51
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0340.071$4.25+$2.25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0050.021$4.10+$3.10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$1.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$1.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$1.37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23? · No0.0920.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 10:36Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.0085496236$1.36
10-08 10:07Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.0343207911$2.00
10-08 05:54Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0336771206$2.00
10-08 05:07Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.137$9.78
10-08 05:06Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0139482916$1.40
10-08 05:05Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.008$2.00
10-08 05:05Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.005$2.00
10-08 05:02Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
10-08 05:02Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.0129999999$1.25
10-08 04:55Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.153$7.44
10-08 04:49Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.16$2.42
10-07 07:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7?BUY0.06$1.20
10-07 07:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
10-07 06:59Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0659999963$1.00
10-07 06:59Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0139999999$1.00