Berlin4
0x2a70127e598f101fe932725584cf0905cb72167d
- Realised P&L
- $-10.21
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $53.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.59at 0.196Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$23.78at 0.085Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$18.01at 0.035Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$16.82at 0.029Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
- +$13.84at 0.049Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:36 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0085496236 | $1.36 |
| 10-08 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0343207911 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 05:54 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0336771206 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 05:07 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.137 | $9.78 |
| 10-08 05:06 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0139482916 | $1.40 |
| 10-08 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999999 | $1.25 |
| 10-08 04:55 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.153 | $7.44 |
| 10-08 04:49 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.42 |
| 10-07 07:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-07 07:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |