IgorBgd
0xd5dcf9043989926bcae732a2428aebdc64b917d8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $287.1k
- Markets traded
- 613
- Open portfolio
- $30.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded613
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$564.59at 0.148Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
- +$491.94at 0.173Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
- +$490.82at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
- +$489.04at 0.161Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
- +$439.45at 0.200Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:02 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:01 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:01 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0547241887 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 23:01 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:28 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 17:13 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | BUY | 0.8937515842 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 17:03 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $12.22 |
| 10-04 20:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 09:59 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998297 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 09:44 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998297 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 08:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 18:13 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999983 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 18:13 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $41.18 |
| 07-23 10:07 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.0321910361 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 10:04 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.5705578333 | $100.00 |