PolyBot

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Traders

IgorBgd

0xd5dcf9043989926bcae732a2428aebdc64b917d8

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$287.1k
Markets traded
613
Open portfolio
$30.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded613
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yes0.8940.973$10.88+$0.88
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.590$9.67−$0.33
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7300.775$6.37+$0.37
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1000.105$1.05+$0.05
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4000.390$0.97−$0.03
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0230.022$0.96−$0.04
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0550.043$0.78−$0.22
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$17.38
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31? · Yes0.3020.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$70.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$52.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00−$220.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 23:02Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0229999999$1.00
10-05 23:01Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 23:01Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0547241887$1.00
10-05 23:01Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-05 22:28Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.609999986$10.00
10-05 17:13Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BUY0.8937515842$10.00
10-05 17:03Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.022$12.22
10-04 20:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.24$2.00
10-04 09:59Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.7299998297$3.00
10-04 09:44Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.7299998297$3.00
10-04 08:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
07-24 18:13Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0359999983$20.00
07-24 18:13Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.035$41.18
07-23 10:07Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.0321910361$10.00
07-23 10:04Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.5705578333$100.00