Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.10 to 0.23. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	502	502
0.15	597	1,099
0.17	99	1,198
0.18	246	1,444
0.19	378	1,822
0.20	255	2,077
0.21	168	2,244
0.22	160	2,404
0.23	112	2,516
0.24	305	2,821
0.25	202	3,023
0.27	195	3,218

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	80	80
0.12	850	930
0.11	1,005	1,935
0.10	116	2,051
0.08	49	2,100
0.07	372	2,471
0.06	295	2,766
0.05	1,326	4,092
0.04	151	4,242
0.03	307	4,549
0.02	330	4,879
0.01	605	5,484

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	80	80
0.88	850	930
0.89	1,005	1,935
0.90	116	2,051
0.92	49	2,100
0.93	372	2,471
0.94	295	2,766
0.95	1,326	4,092
0.96	151	4,242
0.97	307	4,549
0.98	330	4,879
0.99	605	5,484

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	502	502
0.85	597	1,099
0.83	99	1,198
0.82	246	1,444
0.81	378	1,822
0.80	255	2,077
0.79	168	2,244
0.78	160	2,404
0.77	112	2,516
0.76	305	2,821
0.75	202	3,023
0.73	195	3,218

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Demet3r	Yes	300
Zenef	Yes	250
dddtrips	Yes	147.5
2B9S	Yes	127.84
ElonJail	Yes	82
whereismymoney	Yes	70
WanderingPanda	Yes	62
IgorBgd	Yes	59.5
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	53
rocky42015	Yes	51.69
oboltusovao	Yes	50
tradeo39	Yes	50
pppnn	Yes	31.1
Carabao	Yes	28.1
TheGreatBeta	Yes	27
jay9090	Yes	22.14
tiongbu	Yes	20.1
a5533	Yes	20
dragonfly66	Yes	13.9
ghorrock	Yes	10.37

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:18:30	BUY	No	0.86	30	$25.80
23:18:19	BUY	No	0.86	27	$23.27
18:43:37	SELL	Yes	0.14	28	$3.92
14:38:03	BUY	Yes	0.1354838657	22	$3.00
12:12:21	BUY	Yes	0.11	148	$16.23
11:23:52	SELL	No	0.89	5	$4.45
09:46:42	BUY	Yes	0.09	25	$2.25
09:32:21	BUY	Yes	0.09	31	$2.79
09:10:45	SELL	Yes	0.09	31	$2.80
08:27:36	SELL	No	0.92	0	$0.17
08:23:58	SELL	Yes	0.07	14	$0.97
08:19:12	SELL	Yes	0.07	50	$3.48
08:16:33	SELL	Yes	0.076	50	$3.80
08:16:28	BUY	No	0.8525	200	$170.50
08:16:28	BUY	No	0.8988642659	36	$32.45
06:24:58	SELL	Yes	0.15	1	$0.18
06:24:57	BUY	No	0.849999915	1	$1.00
04:02:45	SELL	Yes	0.15	14	$2.12
04:02:43	SELL	No	0.82	0	$0.13
04:02:43	BUY	No	0.85	14	$12.04
04:02:42	SELL	Yes	0.15	14	$2.14
04:02:42	BUY	No	0.85	14	$11.90
04:02:42	BUY	No	0.8499999929	14	$12.04
02:44:13	SELL	No	0.8	10	$8.00
02:44:12	SELL	No	0.81	10	$8.10