ElonJail
0xb831a1d17dc7cc13815e665fb94f34473e33892b
- Realised P&L
- $10.7k
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 630
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded630
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.200Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.228Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.407Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.110Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.500Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:32 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $28.00 |
| 09-17 20:32 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $30.45 |
| 09-17 20:31 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.10 |
| 09-17 18:36 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.73 |
| 09-17 18:36 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $35.88 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $22.00 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 12:30 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 12:14 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 09-17 12:14 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.99 |
| 09-17 09:36 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.62 |