dragonfly66
0x85994756da964381ba7e262e9acf9312d3b8ebe7
- Realised P&L
- $22.88
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 497
- Open portfolio
- $101.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded497
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.67at 0.022Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$64.98at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$46.86at 0.063Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
- +$46.86at 0.063Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$42.61at 0.148Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:01 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.76 |
| 10-30 15:01 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.15 |
| 10-30 15:00 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.50 |
| 10-26 05:33 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0859999962 | $1.87 |
| 10-26 05:33 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 16:38 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 16:35 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1159999998 | $6.00 |
| 10-25 16:34 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 16:34 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 13:25 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0813735594 | $8.68 |
| 10-24 13:19 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0898037578 | $7.99 |
| 10-24 13:17 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.05 |
| 10-24 13:17 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.22 |
| 10-24 13:17 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.53 |
| 10-24 13:17 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0124062976 | $0.98 |