PolyBot

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Traders

dragonfly66

0x85994756da964381ba7e262e9acf9312d3b8ebe7

Realised P&L
$22.88
Volume
$19.6k
Markets traded
497
Open portfolio
$101.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded497
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes0.2600.435$20.08+$8.08
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.0170.025$17.65+$5.65
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0170.024$16.51+$4.51
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · No0.2480.250$12.10+$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$11.14−$0.86
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.0800.090$10.22+$1.14
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.0500.095$4.66+$2.21
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.0300.060$3.84+$1.92
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes0.0200.087$3.50+$2.70
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? · Yes0.0700.135$1.88+$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes0.3100.004$0.14−$11.86
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$30.11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00−$7.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:01Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.02$1.76
10-30 15:01Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.019$2.15
10-30 15:00Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.018$0.50
10-26 05:33Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0859999962$1.87
10-26 05:33Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$1.00
10-25 16:38Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.00
10-25 16:35Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1159999998$6.00
10-25 16:34Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$1.00
10-25 16:34Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.003$2.00
10-24 13:25Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0813735594$8.68
10-24 13:19Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0898037578$7.99
10-24 13:17Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.013$0.05
10-24 13:17Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.053$0.22
10-24 13:17Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?SELL0.024$0.53
10-24 13:17Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.0124062976$0.98