PolyBot

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Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-05
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.12 to 0.28. 30 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.171313
0.184053
0.194093
0.2140133
0.2226159
0.2326185
0.24165350
0.2820370
0.2950420
0.3070490
0.565495
0.58100595

Spread0.06Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1155
0.103136
0.094177
0.022298
0.01755853

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8955
0.903136
0.914177
0.982298
0.99755853

Spread0.06Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.831313
0.824053
0.814093
0.7940133
0.7826159
0.7726185
0.76165350
0.7220370
0.7150420
0.7070490
0.445495
0.42100595

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
7OurosYes91.6
POB-TYes89
GuyFromTinderYes85.1
Antony82Yes81
AJSVYes73.78
nana130299Yes63.16
Marouane735Yes53.62
JAMJAMJAM4Yes28
youtube-traderYes20
0xa5ef…2966No1,024.59
RenanPresidente.No130.86
cigarettesNo40
65765757No37
lolzzzlolNo20.68
78979879879879No19.32
0xf528…7e5bNo11
0xB66C2855ecdF8d41d6028B749fE7970f291Ba0f5-1775396068284No1.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:08:39BUYNo0.8215$12.30
02:08:39BUYYes0.1813$2.34
01:00:15BUYYes0.178641975381$14.47
00:03:22BUYNo0.879999991719$17.00
22:44:09BUYNo0.829999997818$15.00
22:43:39BUYNo0.82999996132$1.50
22:43:09BUYNo0.8599999989113$97.00
22:25:37BUYYes0.186500886854$10.00
18:57:34BUYNo0.837837837837$31.00
18:57:12BUYNo0.825$4.10
18:53:52BUYNo0.840$32.00
18:53:52BUYNo0.844$35.20
18:53:51BUYNo0.85$4.00
14:59:41SELLNo0.7625$19.08
14:48:29BUYNo0.7720$15.40
14:48:24BUYNo0.7731$23.87
14:48:24BUYNo0.7734$26.26
14:48:24BUYNo0.7740$30.80
13:27:51BUYNo0.7640$30.40
11:36:10BUYNo0.7511$8.26
11:15:22BUYNo0.758$6.00
11:15:22BUYNo0.755$3.52
11:15:22BUYNo0.758$6.23
11:15:22BUYNo0.7518$13.50
11:13:52BUYYes0.242$8.32