PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-21
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.988. up 0.748 over the period, from 0.240. Range 0.230 to 0.988. 60 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9992424

Spread0.023Mid0.988

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9765353
0.9751568
0.9602391
0.88411102
0.83432134
0.78419154
0.73420174
0.68522196
0.63432227
0.58434262
0.56316278
0.540100378

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0245353
0.0251568
0.0402391
0.11611102
0.16632134
0.21619154
0.26620174
0.31522196
0.36632227
0.41634262
0.43716278
0.460100378

Spread0.023Mid0.013

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0012424

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
buyat89Yes123.37
memetalYes101.65
ergodiclabYes100
0x3ff7…2fa2Yes92
0xf51b…ca1bYes23.95
bubububblebuttYes16.59
helicobiteYes12
0xa5ef…2966No213.51
0xSPBBNo60.5
.MentheNo50
tradetosurvive1No37.43
HaradwaithNo20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9No20
a5533No20
LovelyPandaNo13.11
TENETENETNo10
bjproloNo10
09F911029D74No8
triklozoidNo5
brraNo2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:29:32BUYYes0.99919$18.93
11:26:09BUYYes0.9995$5.00
10:11:03BUYNo0.00218$0.04
09:59:23BUYNo0.00218$0.04
09:47:47BUYNo0.00218$0.04
09:31:39BUYNo0.00220$0.04
09:19:41BUYNo0.00218$0.04
06:42:20BUYYes0.9936343719102$101.00
05:45:11BUYYes0.989999975317$16.42
05:24:09SELLNo0.010490037719$0.19
04:50:05SELLYes0.805687516$12.89
04:49:23SELLYes0.9220$18.40
04:49:09SELLYes0.9520$19.00
04:47:57BUYYes0.9875$73.72
04:31:45BUYYes0.9631$30.00
04:29:41BUYYes0.965$4.80
04:27:41BUYYes0.27100$27.00
04:26:48BUYYes0.558122556672$40.00
04:26:48BUYYes0.2956$16.24
00:14:23SELLYes0.2312$2.76
00:01:00SELLYes0.2420$4.80
21:18:55BUYYes0.2432$7.68
04:22:24BUYNo0.769999998919$14.30