PolyBot

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Traders

brra

0x94356e158e5a9393fc194ead3271ff73c54f91fd

Realised P&L
$-610.76
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
766
Open portfolio
$35.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded766
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026? · No0.7800.670$13.40−$2.20
Will Sentinels make a roster change by December? · No0.8900.430$8.60−$9.20
Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.225$3.38−$5.47
Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote? · Yes0.3200.155$3.10−$3.30
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? · Yes0.4100.095$1.90−$6.30
Will Chronicle play for Eternal Fire in 2027? · Yes0.0800.100$0.50+$0.10
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4450.475$0.48+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2500.240$0.47−$0.02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.2300.230$0.46+$0.00
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? · Yes0.2700.295$0.40+$0.03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.3800.335$0.34−$0.04
Will Illinois have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.3500.090$0.33−$0.95
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.1500.140$0.28−$0.02
Will Lionel Messi score 14+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window? · Yes0.2400.205$0.27−$0.05
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4200.270$0.27−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 22:23Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.583$11.66
10-04 22:00Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in October?BUY0.73$14.60
10-04 22:00Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?BUY0.12$2.40
10-04 21:53Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999851$12.23
10-04 21:53Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.72$2.49
10-04 21:45Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more?BUY0.8789999943$17.56
10-04 21:35Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.64$12.80
10-04 21:18Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?BUY0.7$14.00
10-04 21:04Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.414$8.28
10-04 20:50Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?BUY0.1699999943$2.39
10-04 20:50Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-04 20:41Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?BUY0.76$15.20
10-04 20:20Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.84$16.80
10-04 20:09Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?BUY0.45$2.25
10-04 19:53Tom Holland as Spider-Man?BUY0.57$11.40