PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ergodiclab

0xba4185e83985279220e74127124146a39d5be9ab

Realised P&L
$-9.00
Volume
$315.00
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$205.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.7790.990$198.00+$42.25
Will the biggest earthquake on October 12, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? · No0.1800.500$7.50+$4.80
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 6.1 or more? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$9.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:30Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.77875$155.75
10-12 23:24Will the biggest earthquake on October 12, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?BUY0.18$2.70