Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-04-30
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.11. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.10 to 0.21. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	10,827	10,827
0.13	12,975	23,802
0.14	20,827	44,629
0.15	7,620	52,249
0.16	300	52,549
0.17	747	53,296
0.19	900	54,196
0.20	1,020	55,216
0.21	305	55,521
0.22	1,189	56,709
0.23	4,710	61,419
0.24	3,314	64,733

Spread0.02Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	517	517
0.09	7,330	7,847
0.08	17,460	25,307
0.07	46,407	71,714
0.06	6,327	78,041
0.05	1,526	79,568
0.04	2,493	82,061
0.03	5,230	87,291
0.02	6,827	94,117
0.01	10,620	104,738

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	517	517
0.91	7,330	7,847
0.92	17,460	25,307
0.93	46,407	71,714
0.94	6,327	78,041
0.95	1,526	79,568
0.96	2,493	82,061
0.97	5,230	87,291
0.98	6,827	94,117
0.99	10,620	104,738

Spread0.02Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	10,827	10,827
0.87	12,975	23,802
0.86	20,827	44,629
0.85	7,620	52,249
0.84	300	52,549
0.83	747	53,296
0.81	900	54,196
0.80	1,020	55,216
0.79	305	55,521
0.78	1,189	56,709
0.77	4,710	61,419
0.76	3,314	64,733

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	117,944.66
novv25	Yes	72,639.67
5038813185	Yes	68,713.05
aenews2	Yes	30,088.71
0xF678D01Ce19Bd505351412504cFA66774d23A255-1775517236669	Yes	28,107.05
0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442	Yes	22,005.01
PolyPlayerMADMAN	Yes	20,014.11
KM1	Yes	14,796
GayPride	Yes	12,499.99
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	10,334.64
mombil	Yes	9,371.83
jgdbvr	Yes	8,557.65
Tnothcote	Yes	7,651.86
52centis	Yes	7,086.18
0x9fE8575B05313c440340E3aE21Af1E0e300C2c91-1772046049700	Yes	6,499.96
pbshine	Yes	5,930.07
ThetaDecay2005	Yes	4,999.98
Chore	Yes	4,000.45
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d	Yes	4,000.4
slippy0	Yes	3,993.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:02:38	BUY	Yes	0.1199998992	8	$1.00
22:25:59	BUY	No	0.9	25	$22.50
21:25:45	SELL	Yes	0.11	30	$3.30
20:18:41	BUY	No	0.9	1,511	$1360.00
20:03:39	SELL	Yes	0.1	17	$1.67
20:03:00	BUY	Yes	0.1241678887	7,329	$910.00
19:12:29	SELL	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
17:07:11	BUY	Yes	0.1165048356	43	$5.00
15:43:11	SELL	Yes	0.11	10	$1.10
15:43:02	BUY	Yes	0.1112380384	306	$34.00
15:41:26	BUY	Yes	0.1099999032	9	$1.00
15:33:06	SELL	No	0.89	29	$26.00
15:33:05	SELL	No	0.89	6	$5.61
15:33:03	SELL	No	0.89	41	$36.73
15:33:02	SELL	No	0.89	18	$15.58
15:33:00	SELL	No	0.89	18	$16.18
15:32:59	SELL	No	0.89	148	$132.13
15:32:57	SELL	No	0.89	27	$24.09
14:56:51	SELL	No	0.89	100	$89.00
14:28:54	SELL	No	0.89	12	$10.47
14:18:24	SELL	Yes	0.1	13	$1.29
14:18:21	SELL	Yes	0.1	1,400	$140.03
13:54:20	SELL	Yes	0.11	200	$22.00
13:33:12	SELL	Yes	0.11	1,000	$110.00
11:49:08	SELL	No	0.87	2	$1.49