jgdbvr
0x90134a5c61876dc0f35b72eed743605daae5fc71
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $970.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.403US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$6.5kat 0.828Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$4.1kat 0.198US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$3.7kat 0.667Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.185Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 21:54 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0010088628 | $11.38 |
| 07-30 13:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $26.61 |
| 07-30 13:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.0020882075 | $2.37 |
| 07-26 21:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.1009999979 | $39.00 |
| 07-24 10:46 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $90.00 |
| 07-24 10:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.2247191011 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 10:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 19:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $56.79 |
| 07-23 19:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0514301743 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 23:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 23:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.2250129953 | $219.03 |
| 07-22 23:20 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9762462598 | $644.71 |
| 07-20 10:29 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0595691167 | $90.00 |
| 07-20 10:26 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.04684013 | $78.28 |
| 07-20 10:25 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.1137053505 | $176.19 |