0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442
0x8c66e28fbe7ede7f57ba6cbc70408dff442944f3
- Realised P&L
- $55.5k
- Volume
- $6.02M
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $29.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.8kat 0.220Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$15.1kat 0.325US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$12.5kat 0.602US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$7.1kat 0.548Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$6.1kat 0.932Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2326537333 | $2.1k |
| 10-01 17:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $5.9k |
| 10-01 17:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.1k |
| 09-16 19:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.4k |
| 09-16 19:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4797919305 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 16:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $13.2k |
| 09-12 15:16 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.6178426354 | $753.20 |
| 09-12 15:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.4k |
| 09-12 14:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.7k |
| 08-27 16:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.9k |
| 08-27 16:15 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $15.1k |
| 08-25 16:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.42405275 | $848.11 |
| 08-25 09:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4327234667 | $649.09 |
| 08-18 18:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1146746333 | $688.05 |
| 08-18 18:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0202956226 | $54.45 |