PolyBot

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Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.11 to 0.67. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.236060
0.24324384
0.25160544
0.27200744
0.28200944
0.6420964
0.6520984
0.66201,004
0.85201,024
0.9151,029
0.93191,048
0.95171,065

Spread0.03Mid0.22

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.20285285
0.19236521
0.1821542
0.09101643
0.0821664
0.0687751
0.0448799
0.0369868
0.021681,036
0.015631,598

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.80285285
0.81236521
0.8221542
0.91101643
0.9221664
0.9487751
0.9648799
0.9769868
0.981681,036
0.995631,598

Spread0.03Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.776060
0.76324384
0.75160544
0.73200744
0.72200944
0.3620964
0.3520984
0.34201,004
0.15201,024
0.0951,029
0.07191,048
0.05171,065

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SuperTestsYes350
AJSVYes39.27
tradetosurvive1Yes29.99
2B9SYes21
0x033b…5fd4Yes20
GuyFromTinderYes20
mavsgseguritasYes6.73
xixihaha009Yes3
alamedamemolaNo200
GotGreenWoodNo170
stanmktmakerNo100
boywonder2No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:15:36SELLYes0.2120$4.20
15:35:48SELLYes0.236$7.20
10:03:14BUYYes0.1760$10.20
04:20:28SELLYes0.167$1.12
01:04:14BUYYes0.1460$8.40
00:03:32BUYYes0.1334$4.42
22:05:42BUYYes0.1346$5.98
14:12:04BUYNo0.6270$43.40
14:10:44SELLYes0.410$4.00
14:10:43SELLYes0.410$4.00
14:10:43BUYNo0.5920$11.80
14:10:43BUYNo0.5920$11.80
14:10:41BUYNo0.5950$29.50
06:51:39BUYNo0.6250$31.00
06:03:14SELLNo0.620$12.00
06:03:12BUYYes0.3920$7.80
06:03:11BUYYes0.3920$7.80
16:13:29BUYNo0.61999994947$4.17
00:08:11BUYYes0.3084250$77.10
00:08:11BUYYes0.3320$6.60
00:08:11BUYYes0.3620$7.20
12:59:45SELLYes0.271$0.27
11:35:21SELLYes0.321$6.30
21:51:36BUYNo0.6941$28.29
18:57:42SELLYes0.320$0.00