PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.32. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.18 to 0.49. 67 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.339494
0.3438132
0.3540172
0.4125197
0.4366263
0.7530293
0.76168461
0.7750511
0.7843554
0.899563
0.927570
0.93314884

Spread0.02Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.316666
0.30180246
0.2954300
0.2820320
0.2424344
0.17206550
0.165301,080
0.15501,130
0.12801,210
0.11931,303
0.10201,323
0.09641,387

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.696666
0.70180246
0.7154300
0.7220320
0.7624344
0.83206550
0.845301,080
0.85501,130
0.88801,210
0.89931,303
0.90201,323
0.91641,387

Spread0.02Mid0.68

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.679494
0.6638132
0.6540172
0.5925197
0.5766263
0.2530293
0.24168461
0.2350511
0.2243554
0.119563
0.087570
0.07314884

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SuperTestsYes370.23
youtube-traderYes31.59
AJSVYes25.04
Vagabund97Yes25
FihdrzgddYes20.01
misha-d1Yes20
Ethan-PierYes20
lissartterYes11.41
BikesarethebestNo333.86
G24L8No34.32
DapsyNo33.98
tradetosurvive1No31.59
MajasNo26
chaosj89No24
bullbull88No20
boofaNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:40:12BUYYes0.328$2.69
09:39:50BUYYes0.3212$3.71
04:18:42BUYNo0.7624$18.24
04:02:18BUYYes0.21159$33.39
16:41:24SELLYes0.17024475526$0.97
15:58:05SELLYes0.199$1.71
15:56:46BUYNo0.809999998834$27.80
13:59:19SELLYes0.3520$7.00
13:59:14SELLYes0.3580$28.00
13:16:41BUYYes0.42999995616$2.45
13:16:41BUYYes0.4320$8.60
13:16:41BUYYes0.400586312714$5.72
13:16:40SELLNo0.6580$52.00
13:16:40BUYYes0.349999996126$9.00
12:26:10SELLNo0.6334$21.42
12:26:10SELLNo0.65100$65.00
12:19:37SELLYes0.184795268411$2.03
12:19:25BUYNo0.754117647134$25.64
12:19:25BUYNo0.6055555556180$109.00
13:50:57SELLYes0.4325$10.75
10:39:24SELLYes0.312$0.55
05:15:34SELLNo0.65$2.87
05:15:31SELLNo0.616$9.60
05:15:28SELLNo0.616$9.60
05:15:19SELLNo0.616$9.60