PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.081. down 0.010 over the period, from 0.091. Range 0.071 to 0.217. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.084245245
0.08550295
0.08750345
0.094300645
0.098173819
0.106100919
0.10727946
0.13636982
0.1461001,082
0.147891,171
0.1482,0153,186
0.1491003,286

Spread0.006Mid0.081

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.078123123
0.0763,1503,273
0.0751293,402
0.0683003,702
0.0584504,152
0.0572,0006,152
0.0518547,006
0.049387,044
0.048347,078
0.047167,093
0.043307,123
0.03267,129

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.922123123
0.9243,1503,273
0.9251293,402
0.9323003,702
0.9424504,152
0.9432,0006,152
0.9498547,006
0.951387,044
0.952347,078
0.953167,093
0.957307,123
0.96867,129

Spread0.006Mid0.919

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.916245245
0.91550295
0.91350345
0.906300645
0.902173819
0.894100919
0.89327946
0.86436982
0.8541001,082
0.853891,171
0.8522,0153,186
0.8511003,286

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes9,139.89
ripYes1,999.99
ThickAssHippoYes1,474.26
chefradishYes1,304.13
OndraYes806.57
liveMetaYes794.86
HaradwaithYes724.45
Dr.PNLYes508.43
BikesarethebestYes501.83
notlosecryptoYes421.29
JJoyce1904Yes406.49
PineflowYes336.85
suntoriYes285.71
0x1AA15e52Bcf1951a1E1019E29EfB2769fB83A37b-1764619995301Yes285.16
jgcrm9up97bzYes277.77
OverlookHotelYes276.61
rocky42023Yes267.31
0x7da9…5741Yes256.24
0xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-1720119167013Yes242.78
parfaitparfaitYes218

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:11:33SELLYes0.0823103904189$15.58
06:58:12SELLNo0.90450$45.20
06:12:13BUYYes0.0975$6.74
06:11:04BUYYes0.0950$4.50
06:10:19BUYYes0.0912$1.08
04:44:25SELLYes0.07821$1.64
04:37:19SELLYes0.07950$3.95
04:27:43SELLYes0.1026377444268$27.50
04:27:43BUYNo0.905999999859$53.45
03:33:55SELLYes0.110650$5.53
03:33:54BUYNo0.876248681565$494.92
03:33:54BUYNo0.8850$44.00
03:27:01BUYNo0.867250$216.75
01:26:40SELLYes0.13389$11.88
21:40:00BUYYes0.1112089717535$59.45
21:30:09BUYNo0.90693$84.26
21:30:01BUYNo0.8992468694559$502.68
20:12:09BUYNo0.88520080251,211$1072.15
20:12:09BUYNo0.897361875650$45.00
20:12:07BUYNo0.89366$58.94
18:14:55BUYYes0.11633$3.84
15:04:21SELLYes0.13670351121,304$178.28
13:51:42SELLYes0.164183$30.03
10:38:04BUYNo0.819692765217$177.87
10:37:58BUYNo0.7928370302717$568.32