PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.48. down 0.14 over the period, from 0.63. Range 0.32 to 0.63. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.528080
0.5420100
0.5535135
0.5720155
0.606161
0.9021182
0.957189
0.9650239
0.9831270
0.9918288

Spread0.07Mid0.48

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.458080
0.4320100
0.4120120
0.38100220
0.0510230
0.048238
0.0218256
0.0121277

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.558080
0.5720100
0.5920120
0.62100220
0.9510230
0.968238
0.9818256
0.9921277

Spread0.07Mid0.52

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.488080
0.4620100
0.4535135
0.4320155
0.406161
0.1021182
0.057189
0.0450239
0.0231270
0.0118288

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SuperTestsYes250
sdfsdfsdfsdf2Yes102
WarriorHYes34.97
HaradwaithYes25.99
SuSuDORISNo129.99
OndraNo49.18
pootytherewardfarmerNo45
tradetosurvive1No40
2B9SNo40
AJSVNo38.5
0x4629…f3b1No20
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FNo20
AgecanonixNo20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No10.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:36:51SELLNo0.453$1.36
21:36:00SELLNo0.5530$16.49
21:35:18SELLNo0.5745$25.65
21:34:55SELLNo0.5820$11.60
21:34:54BUYYes0.4220$8.40
21:34:52SELLNo0.59158$93.23
14:58:01SELLNo0.5620$11.20
12:35:30BUYYes0.3820$7.60
12:34:52BUYYes0.385624250$96.41
12:34:52BUYYes0.410$3.88
21:35:40SELLYes0.5520$11.00
21:26:25SELLYes0.596$3.53
21:26:19BUYNo0.38207$78.73
16:09:09SELLNo0.3720$7.40
10:14:04SELLNo0.3720$7.40
06:08:54SELLYes0.6120$12.20
05:52:39BUYNo0.3420$6.80