PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.060. down 0.035 over the period, from 0.095. Range 0.024 to 0.198. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.079161161
0.080150311
0.08175386
0.085148534
0.086363897
0.09550947
0.18811957
0.189971,054
0.215421,096
0.217551,151
0.321321,183
0.322601,243

Spread0.038Mid0.060

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.041181181
0.038348529
0.03550579
0.034119698
0.031115813
0.0229821
0.02150871
0.0202231,095
0.0181021,197
0.01161,203
0.01071,210
0.006211,231

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.959181181
0.962348529
0.96550579
0.966119698
0.969115813
0.9789821
0.97950871
0.9802231,095
0.9821021,197
0.98961,203
0.99071,210
0.994211,231

Spread0.038Mid0.940

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.921161161
0.920150311
0.91975386
0.915148534
0.914363897
0.90550947
0.81211957
0.811971,054
0.785421,096
0.783551,151
0.679321,183
0.678601,243

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes195.22
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396Yes95.23
FihdrzgddYes75
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes60
tradetosurvive1Yes43
AJSVYes40
PP55PYes34
romanew-1-newYes10.57
bjproloYes1
OrbitSugarFreeNo244
0x4015AEAA3f46A054ea717Cd140a85e206971f4A9-1780774672439No150
SuperTestsNo120
commeowderNo39
xixihaha009No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:35:52SELLNo0.9616985646209$201.00
00:48:28SELLYes0.01810$0.18
01:10:06SELLYes0.03250$1.60
10:41:43BUYYes0.0440$1.60
10:41:42BUYYes0.0620$1.20
10:36:51SELLYes0.0240$0.80
10:36:46SELLYes0.053758$0.43
10:36:39SELLYes0.0795$6.65
10:36:36BUYNo0.9320$18.60
10:36:36BUYNo0.92244$224.48
10:36:36BUYNo0.9338$35.34
19:07:48SELLYes0.0723$1.61
16:30:06SELLYes0.0720$1.40
16:19:12SELLYes0.0733$2.31
16:01:27SELLYes0.0620$1.20
16:01:13SELLYes0.0720$1.40
16:01:09SELLYes0.0720$1.40
16:01:07BUYNo0.920$18.00
16:01:07BUYNo0.920$18.20
16:01:06BUYNo0.89209$186.01
16:01:06BUYNo0.933$29.70
12:00:57SELLNo0.880$0.40
14:39:09BUYYes0.129999996920$2.54
14:39:07BUYYes0.1395$12.38
13:10:28SELLNo0.8833$29.04