Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.15 to 0.36. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	20	20
0.38	11	31
0.39	11	43
0.59	100	143
0.64	5	148
0.65	169	317
0.84	6	323
0.89	9	332
0.92	7	339
0.93	14	353
0.95	15	368
0.96	25	393

Spread0.08Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	211	211
0.10	21	232
0.08	50	282
0.07	6	288
0.06	58	346
0.05	114	460
0.04	88	548
0.03	105	653
0.01	39	692

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	211	211
0.90	21	232
0.92	50	282
0.93	6	288
0.94	58	346
0.95	114	460
0.96	88	548
0.97	105	653
0.99	39	692

Spread0.08Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	20	20
0.62	11	31
0.61	11	43
0.41	100	143
0.36	5	148
0.35	169	317
0.16	6	323
0.11	9	332
0.08	7	339
0.07	14	353
0.05	15	368
0.04	25	393

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x659db5d7C035771e1b1b3243e544207BAE71a037-1744115964414	Yes	638.02
buyaoshangtou1	Yes	275.58
AJSV	Yes	199.2
0x1fe79e1e6990cc1fa2d015280fe7fed530a07fa7-1792434693836	Yes	153.68
SuperTests	Yes	93
HerrieDavis	Yes	83.46
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	82
Bodytobody	Yes	38
sirjhow01	Yes	37.33
BASSATS01	Yes	37
pppnn	Yes	20
asd56	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	15.6
winexecutescale	Yes	10.61
justcris	Yes	6.06
0xe83c568e7b3C643a2787d8768F340a00FF0e0d7F-1768197654339	Yes	5.55
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	5
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272	Yes	5
burge146	Yes	3.2
79fsdfs	Yes	2.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:30:42	BUY	Yes	0.17	139	$23.65
19:09:39	BUY	No	0.82	96	$78.81
19:09:39	BUY	No	0.8622284106	20	$17.23
19:09:38	BUY	No	0.85877	20	$17.18
19:09:38	BUY	No	0.8399999899	20	$16.60
02:58:23	BUY	Yes	0.19	5	$0.95
15:17:37	SELL	No	0.7	6	$4.20
07:17:28	BUY	Yes	0.22	6	$1.32
18:04:06	SELL	No	0.7975	80	$63.80
18:02:25	BUY	No	0.7372222222	144	$106.16
22:03:18	BUY	Yes	0.22	49	$10.80
17:42:15	BUY	No	0.747433832	26	$19.49
22:30:58	BUY	No	0.77	60	$46.19
19:35:06	BUY	No	0.74	30	$22.20
19:34:09	BUY	No	0.68	29	$19.39
19:34:06	BUY	No	0.6799998912	1	$1.00
19:34:03	BUY	No	0.66	30	$19.80
19:32:52	SELL	Yes	0.22	47	$10.44
06:33:12	BUY	Yes	0.27	15	$4.05
06:33:12	BUY	Yes	0.2442857143	35	$8.55
05:36:04	BUY	Yes	0.2399999966	47	$11.39
16:47:13	BUY	No	0.75	20	$15.00
09:58:12	BUY	Yes	0.17	28	$4.75
09:58:06	BUY	No	0.8	20	$16.00
09:58:01	BUY	No	0.73	68	$49.60