PolyBot

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Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.007. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.007. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010100100
0.0111,6501,750
0.0121,3623,112
0.0501763,288
0.0541003,388
0.0631503,538
0.0733183,856
0.0821003,956
0.0833184,274
0.0933184,592
0.1043184,910
0.1143185,228

Spread0.006Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0041,9521,952
0.0037,9559,907
0.00216,25026,157
0.0019,34135,498

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9961,9521,952
0.9977,9559,907
0.99816,25026,157
0.9999,34135,498

Spread0.006Mid0.993

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990100100
0.9891,6501,750
0.9881,3623,112
0.9501763,288
0.9461003,388
0.9371503,538
0.9273183,856
0.9181003,956
0.9173184,274
0.9073184,592
0.8963184,910
0.8863185,228

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DancewithRiskYes4,558.45
suoha518Yes2,881
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes2,253.62
0xee67…67a6Yes1,649.9
thecaricatureYes1,212.1
bai1281Yes774.75
NoSteinNoGateYes532.01
bleakhaikuYes469.21
HerrieDavisYes449.68
LearningPizzaYes328.92
Hugin-og-MuninYes280
LornaPredictsYes203.38
MorrasYes200
username-is-not-takenYes176
2kparabellumYes175.63
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
OlkaYes148.24
YouSayUpISayDownYes129
cry.eth2Yes116
TENETENETYes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:13:10BUYNo0.99610$9.96
21:24:30SELLYes0.00434$0.14
21:24:30BUYNo0.99684$83.54
21:15:43BUYNo0.99684$83.54
21:13:09BUYNo0.99633$32.62
13:02:50SELLYes0.00450$0.20
09:00:31SELLYes0.005100$0.50
20:45:52BUYYes0.008280$2.24
16:55:27BUYNo0.99610$9.96
14:45:58SELLYes0.004433$1.73
14:00:04BUYNo0.99618$17.90
14:00:04BUYNo0.99630$29.88
14:00:04BUYNo0.99652$51.82
11:43:57BUYNo0.99615$14.94
11:43:57BUYNo0.996100$99.60
11:43:57BUYNo0.99623$22.91
11:43:57BUYNo0.99613$12.75
11:43:57BUYNo0.99610$9.96
11:42:28BUYNo0.996100$99.60
11:42:03BUYNo0.996293$291.60
11:42:03BUYNo0.99633$32.62
11:42:00BUYNo0.99684$83.54
11:42:00BUYNo0.99640$39.84
11:41:58BUYNo0.996100$99.60
14:29:51BUYYes0.0052$0.01