Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.015 to 0.288. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	834	834
0.046	10	844
0.389	5	849
0.390	250	1,099
0.450	347	1,446
0.510	389	1,835
0.570	493	2,327
0.630	670	2,997
0.837	306	3,303
0.838	9,000	12,303
0.921	9,000	21,303
0.940	4,448	25,751

Spread0.023Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.007	150	150
0.006	367	517
0.005	25	542
0.003	243	785
0.002	405	1,190
0.001	10,225	11,415

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.993	150	150
0.994	367	517
0.995	25	542
0.997	243	785
0.998	405	1,190
0.999	10,225	11,415

Spread0.023Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	834	834
0.954	10	844
0.611	5	849
0.610	250	1,099
0.550	347	1,446
0.490	389	1,835
0.430	493	2,327
0.370	670	2,997
0.163	306	3,303
0.162	9,000	12,303
0.079	9,000	21,303
0.060	4,448	25,751

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	242.68
0xAc8fcd246ffBD0b44a4B674A761EbCB3DA243BC4-1765080785633	Yes	159.03
miazagsc	Yes	126.51
0x75d1…90da	Yes	30
BSS37	Yes	23.99
0x17a0…46b3	Yes	14
0x2ac0…568d	Yes	14
0x62b6…8168	Yes	14
0xc73d…1133	Yes	14
0xe26a…5461	Yes	14
0x9002…c8cf	Yes	13.5
0x1338…040a	Yes	13
0x1d16…2e97	Yes	13
0x217c…f329	Yes	13
0x299f…c90e	Yes	13
0x3dc4…cea0	Yes	13
0x405b…7d0c	Yes	13
0x4a8d…d7b2	Yes	13
0x5592…ffa3	Yes	13
0x5662…9e79	Yes	13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:35:58	BUY	Yes	0.03	166	$4.98
16:26:51	BUY	Yes	0.046	10	$0.46
17:50:49	SELL	No	0.88	0	$0.11
17:41:43	SELL	No	0.444	5	$2.22
17:41:16	SELL	Yes	0.05	5	$0.25
17:41:01	SELL	No	0.431	39	$16.77
17:40:05	SELL	No	0.41	1	$0.43
17:40:05	SELL	No	0.8730488804	205	$178.97
08:00:07	BUY	Yes	0.025	132	$3.30
03:58:28	SELL	Yes	0.021	18	$0.38
16:24:42	SELL	Yes	0.007	132	$0.92
16:23:42	SELL	Yes	0.015	5	$0.07
16:21:52	SELL	Yes	0.018	20	$0.36
16:21:31	SELL	Yes	0.019	20	$0.38
16:20:34	SELL	Yes	0.034	10	$0.34
16:19:52	SELL	Yes	0.033	20	$0.66
16:18:55	SELL	Yes	0.008	139	$1.11
16:18:43	SELL	Yes	0.03	20	$0.60
16:18:34	SELL	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
16:17:40	SELL	Yes	0.0235	20	$0.47
16:17:17	SELL	Yes	0.02	5	$0.10
16:16:40	SELL	Yes	0.023	5	$0.11
16:15:49	SELL	Yes	0.025	5	$0.13
16:14:10	SELL	Yes	0.032	6	$0.19
16:12:55	SELL	Yes	0.033	5	$0.17