Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.024. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.021 to 0.024. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	12	12
0.030	1,000	1,012
0.031	1,674	2,687
0.032	25	2,711
0.036	62	2,774
0.388	89	2,863
0.389	5	2,868
0.390	750	3,618
0.450	1,040	4,658
0.510	1,167	5,825
0.570	1,463	7,288
0.590	483	7,771

Spread0.011Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	31	31
0.017	73	104
0.016	140	244
0.013	17	261
0.012	87	349
0.008	23	371
0.007	133	504
0.006	270	774
0.005	549	1,323
0.004	620	1,943
0.003	271	2,214
0.002	405	2,619

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	31	31
0.983	73	104
0.984	140	244
0.987	17	261
0.988	87	349
0.992	23	371
0.993	133	504
0.994	270	774
0.995	549	1,323
0.996	620	1,943
0.997	271	2,214
0.998	405	2,619

Spread0.011Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	12	12
0.970	1,000	1,012
0.969	1,674	2,687
0.968	25	2,711
0.964	62	2,774
0.612	89	2,863
0.611	5	2,868
0.610	750	3,618
0.550	1,040	4,658
0.490	1,167	5,825
0.430	1,463	7,288
0.410	483	7,771

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tiger555	Yes	1,619.05
planktonXD	Yes	185.26
dokan	Yes	166.77
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	89.1
underwaterdrool	Yes	83.33
0x2E069254c1dcF5f9B60273B7913a142fF7874Aa7-1767546823885	Yes	69.95
2B9S	Yes	64.77
BSS37	Yes	63.96
thecaricature	Yes	59.99
0xfeF3eb3A2f2d58Cfa77B739b5Ef9087df09d070e-1768748202456	Yes	54.74
Teufel-IX	Yes	38.57
Daanf567	Yes	35.52
p3eFbv0H3b	Yes	32.47
0xc2a1…5584	Yes	28
0x3dc9…6d17	Yes	27
0x7610…cd8f	Yes	27
0x9234…7424	Yes	27
0xa14f…74e0	Yes	27
0xc595…ba67	Yes	27
0xe03e…c0a1	Yes	27

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:57:06	BUY	No	0.9840300231	13	$12.78
17:39:58	SELL	No	0.969	2	$2.00
17:39:58	SELL	No	0.97	3	$3.02
17:39:56	SELL	No	0.9691521235	1,470	$1424.20
12:03:39	BUY	No	0.9830677254	20	$20.00
18:12:56	BUY	No	0.9789707964	513	$502.16
18:12:23	BUY	No	0.977	108	$105.82
18:11:46	BUY	No	0.975	154	$150.57
18:11:44	BUY	No	0.974	169	$164.79
18:11:38	BUY	No	0.973	100	$97.30
15:37:28	SELL	Yes	0.027	32	$0.86
08:29:35	BUY	No	0.973	5	$5.29
08:13:18	BUY	No	0.973	5	$5.15
06:58:59	SELL	No	0.9722741778	450	$437.52
05:41:12	SELL	No	0.974	5	$4.99
15:05:38	BUY	No	0.9749998343	5	$5.00
03:29:30	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.99
03:29:12	BUY	No	0.9740142732	5	$5.00
14:45:32	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.87
20:37:12	SELL	No	0.973	1	$1.23
17:46:35	SELL	No	0.973	10	$10.06
16:53:20	SELL	No	0.973	5	$4.97
16:52:14	BUY	No	0.9779608797	5	$5.00
06:48:59	BUY	No	0.974834	250	$243.71
22:16:51	SELL	No	0.970058	20	$19.40