Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. up 0.003 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.021 to 0.033. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	1,008	1,008
0.031	8	1,016
0.045	34	1,050
0.046	10	1,060
0.048	50	1,110
0.390	250	1,360
0.450	347	1,706
0.510	389	2,095
0.570	488	2,583
0.590	483	3,066
0.630	670	3,736
0.690	861	4,597

Spread0.011Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	7	7
0.018	6	13
0.017	30	43
0.016	100	143
0.015	5	148
0.013	15	163
0.012	97	260
0.011	76	335
0.010	158	494
0.009	53	547
0.006	6	553
0.005	276	829

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	7	7
0.982	6	13
0.983	30	43
0.984	100	143
0.985	5	148
0.987	15	163
0.988	97	260
0.989	76	335
0.990	158	494
0.991	53	547
0.994	6	553
0.995	276	829

Spread0.011Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	1,008	1,008
0.969	8	1,016
0.955	34	1,050
0.954	10	1,060
0.952	50	1,110
0.610	250	1,360
0.550	347	1,706
0.490	389	2,095
0.430	488	2,583
0.410	483	3,066
0.370	670	3,736
0.310	861	4,597

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Oldfarm	Yes	203.26
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	101.19
phkz	Yes	63.47
0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110	Yes	48.03
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	33.95
0x75d1…90da	Yes	28.88
Scoopdewhoop	Yes	24.88
0x02a6…eb01	Yes	15
0x1716…93b5	Yes	15
0x1d7a…b8f7	Yes	15
0x2415…e61f	Yes	15
0x2a5a…548c	Yes	15
0x42f9…be73	Yes	15
0x4c9e…36c4	Yes	15
0x68c4…60c5	Yes	15
0x88f0…fe53	Yes	15
0x93f9…ab20	Yes	15
0xda6a…be68	Yes	15
0xde97…ce37	Yes	15
0xf288…4342	Yes	15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:00:10	BUY	No	0.984	12	$11.77
17:40:05	BUY	Yes	0.0409999996	25	$1.02
14:48:16	BUY	Yes	0.027	22	$0.59
19:09:31	BUY	Yes	0.025	9	$0.23
18:38:14	BUY	Yes	0.025	19	$0.47
06:29:18	SELL	No	0.9809370079	5	$4.98
06:28:08	BUY	No	0.9839999638	5	$5.00
15:19:03	SELL	No	0.981	3	$2.83
14:03:33	SELL	No	0.981	5	$4.98
14:02:38	BUY	No	0.984	5	$5.00
08:10:19	BUY	No	0.981	40	$39.24
08:54:06	SELL	Yes	0.0176536518	22	$0.38
12:49:34	SELL	Yes	0.029	19	$0.55
22:43:30	SELL	Yes	0.013	6	$0.08
03:01:06	SELL	Yes	0.036	39	$1.39
06:26:14	BUY	Yes	0.027157753	203	$5.52
12:54:27	BUY	Yes	0.01	106	$1.06
16:10:18	BUY	Yes	0.005	57	$0.29
08:31:27	SELL	No	0.9951619819	63	$62.67
11:54:03	BUY	No	0.987	14	$13.92
21:38:00	BUY	Yes	0.011	96	$1.06
21:27:07	BUY	No	0.96	303	$290.84
19:04:05	SELL	No	0.95	5	$4.75
20:06:34	SELL	Yes	0.04	26	$1.04
20:06:08	BUY	Yes	0.05	26	$1.30