PolyBot

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.017. Range 0.017 to 0.446. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.035100100
0.036629729
0.0371,0001,729
0.050101,739
0.388401,779
0.3905002,279
0.4506932,972
0.5107783,750
0.5709754,726
0.5904895,215
0.6301,3406,554
0.6901,7228,276

Spread0.028Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0074141
0.006288328
0.005112441
0.0045771,018
0.0036511,668
0.0023,0684,736
0.00129,17233,908

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9934141
0.994288328
0.995112441
0.9965771,018
0.9976511,668
0.9983,0684,736
0.99929,17233,908

Spread0.028Mid0.979

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.965100100
0.964629729
0.9631,0001,729
0.950101,739
0.612401,779
0.6105002,279
0.5506932,972
0.4907783,750
0.4309754,726
0.4104895,215
0.3701,3406,554
0.3101,7228,276

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes636
planktonXDYes629.06
xtxpleasecallmeYes475.72
ma99Yes100
Biver52Yes100
0xf22b…7eabYes54.99
leectramYes51.21
davinchiethYes49.99
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40.01
0x75d1…90daYes25
Babs1337Yes20
0x6626…a040Yes13
0x8bbc…a3cfYes13
brzcfhYes12.71
0x1fda…88fbYes12
0x3115…37b7Yes12
0x319a…3919Yes12
0x3778…d347Yes12
0x4451…3f19Yes12
0x47b9…bb65Yes12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:24:37BUYNo0.8785$4.57
20:24:36SELLYes0.1225$0.63
20:24:31BUYYes0.151999997710$1.58
19:25:31BUYYes0.03397$11.91
19:15:34BUYYes0.02923$0.67
19:02:48SELLNo0.97140$38.84
17:41:01BUYYes0.02956$1.64
17:40:11SELLNo0.97147$45.78
05:09:47SELLNo0.980493496652$51.26
21:12:56SELLNo0.9797$7.22
16:17:42BUYNo0.9743$2.92
12:46:47SELLNo0.97228$27.29
06:48:11BUYNo0.973794500$486.90
00:06:32SELLNo0.969818831934$32.55
13:57:23BUYNo0.97935$906.83
22:36:29BUYNo0.96960$58.14
16:36:22BUYNo0.967502306470$67.83
02:59:07BUYNo0.969100$96.90
01:49:49BUYNo0.967005978760$57.69
15:40:58BUYNo0.966655010159$57.50
14:13:51SELLNo0.948445517445$422.49
13:27:51BUYNo0.9689999999245$237.65
13:27:51BUYNo0.9689999999197$191.09
12:01:12SELLNo0.9488276562478$453.48
13:14:05BUYNo0.9689999999245$237.65