PolyBot

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.034. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.037. Range 0.032 to 0.046. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03488
0.0353038
0.0362159
0.0493291
0.05980171
0.060258429
0.0619531,382
0.063521,433
0.4602501,683
0.519791,763
0.5203522,114
0.579902,204

Spread0.001Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0332222
0.03190112
0.0309631,075
0.0264001,475
0.0111501,625
0.0102501,875
0.0093472,223
0.0083912,613
0.0074913,104
0.0066773,781
0.0058754,656
0.0042,1846,840

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9672222
0.96990112
0.9709631,075
0.9744001,475
0.9891501,625
0.9902501,875
0.9913472,223
0.9923912,613
0.9934913,104
0.9946773,781
0.9958754,656
0.9962,1846,840

Spread0.001Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96688
0.9653038
0.9642159
0.9513291
0.94180171
0.940258429
0.9399531,382
0.937521,433
0.5402501,683
0.481791,763
0.4803522,114
0.421902,204

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes636
planktonXDYes157.69
ma99Yes100
Biver52Yes100
69dsfsYes93.32
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes80.01
0xf22b…7eabYes54.99
davinchiethYes49.99
AJSVYes45.37
crossFiterYes32
PPMTYes29.96
0x75d1…90daYes25
Babs1337Yes20
0x6626…a040Yes13
0x8bbc…a3cfYes13
brzcfhYes12.71
0x1fda…88fbYes12
0x3115…37b7Yes12
0x319a…3919Yes12
0x3778…d347Yes12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:29:18BUYNo0.9685401316142$137.53
17:23:42BUYNo0.9680065023153$148.10
17:22:13SELLNo0.9462222774101$95.23
07:05:01BUYNo0.9695896233101$97.58
01:53:21SELLNo0.9688$8.00
06:32:19BUYNo0.96799999818$8.00
18:34:12BUYNo0.9638$7.95
01:34:09BUYYes0.0388$0.31
21:53:39BUYNo0.9715$5.08
19:23:22BUYNo0.970500395325$24.55
01:11:04BUYYes0.0320$0.61
01:10:55SELLYes0.036$0.18
19:15:04BUYNo0.96226$25.31
12:10:12SELLNo0.941257342714$13.46
06:10:46BUYNo0.97199998061$1.00
09:52:36BUYNo0.971597109715$15.00
09:31:54SELLYes0.0274$0.12
07:44:14SELLNo0.9685$4.88
19:44:48SELLNo0.96917$16.43
19:02:28SELLNo0.9615$4.80
18:54:55SELLNo0.9615$4.80
17:37:45SELLNo0.96527$26.05
11:39:16BUYNo0.972999999851$50.00
06:40:14SELLNo0.955$4.75
06:38:55SELLNo0.955$4.75