PolyBot

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Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.002 to 0.003. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0022020
0.0037,5857,605
0.0042007,805
0.00525,60533,410
0.0065,22538,635
0.0076,00044,635
0.0086,10050,735
0.00985351,588
0.0103,50055,088
0.0113,27158,359
0.0124,05662,415
0.0133,00065,415

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0016,6536,653

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9996,6536,653

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9982020
0.9977,5857,605
0.9962007,805
0.99525,60533,410
0.9945,22538,635
0.9936,00044,635
0.9926,10050,735
0.99185351,588
0.9903,50055,088
0.9893,27158,359
0.9884,05662,415
0.9873,00065,415

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Election2024Yes108,846.97
freedomjijinYes100,190.95
TimeTravelerYes97,815.6
FluxCapacitor88Yes86,438.73
0xcd4313426311739ffee5aced9e352f209f801b46Yes56,194.8
JoebamaYes45,000.61
YasZosoYes37,834.69
GoopahYes36,593.48
LittlelittleYes31,994.48
CopezillaYes24,992.49
MetusalemYes16,141.2
3xhYes15,836.1
WolfChargeYes15,105.01
FerwhereYes14,175.89
Bravo414Yes12,000
0x7DD54bEc93783F700F00c64B585E49Fd86f79E0e-1770776239959Yes11,274.88
QuickSand67Yes10,660.21
Trading4FridgeYes10,139.23
tnlYes9,999.95
-67-Yes9,999.84

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:02:51SELLNo0.9982$1.84
21:02:04BUYNo0.9992$1.84
20:23:07SELLNo0.9981$1.06
20:22:49BUYNo0.9991$1.06
19:38:10SELLNo0.9988$8.34
19:37:30BUYNo0.9998$8.36
18:10:36SELLNo0.9981$1.00
18:10:19BUYNo0.9991$1.00
15:45:21SELLNo0.9980$0.05
15:36:57SELLNo0.9982$1.85
15:36:37BUYNo0.9992$1.85
15:24:40SELLNo0.9980$0.35
14:54:39SELLNo0.9980$0.17
14:30:24SELLNo0.9971$0.53
14:30:18SELLNo0.9970$0.32
14:30:01SELLNo0.9971$0.72
14:23:34BUYNo0.9992$2.18
11:43:42SELLNo0.9976$5.63
11:43:09BUYNo0.9996$5.65
10:50:10SELLNo0.9974$4.27
10:49:46BUYNo0.9994$4.28
10:43:52SELLNo0.9971$1.20
10:43:40BUYNo0.9991$1.20
08:58:24BUYNo0.99912$11.60
08:25:18SELLNo0.9971$1.04