Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-13
Resolves by: https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.037. down 0.217 over the period, from 0.255. Range 0.011 to 0.255. 72 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.048	30	30
0.049	250	280
0.050	220	500
0.053	51	551
0.058	99	650
0.060	16	666
0.065	84	750
0.066	36	786
0.070	20	806
0.489	20	826
0.490	10	836
0.739	7	843

Spread0.021Mid0.037

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	30	30
0.026	100	130
0.025	370	500
0.022	51	551
0.017	99	650
0.014	18	667
0.013	143	810
0.004	104	915
0.003	210	1,124
0.002	2,155	3,279
0.001	5,668	8,947

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	30	30
0.974	100	130
0.975	370	500
0.978	51	551
0.983	99	650
0.986	18	667
0.987	143	810
0.996	104	915
0.997	210	1,124
0.998	2,155	3,279
0.999	5,668	8,947

Spread0.021Mid0.962

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.952	30	30
0.951	250	280
0.950	220	500
0.947	51	551
0.942	99	650
0.940	16	666
0.935	84	750
0.934	36	786
0.930	20	806
0.511	20	826
0.510	10	836
0.261	7	843

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	120
Haradwaith	Yes	105.5
2B9S	Yes	50
AlphaGooo	Yes	31
0x67c8d7Daaf87158B9BEBf2EE6934943A506B4841-1778064240710	Yes	22.03
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
ViscaElBarca	Yes	20
smarterstrat	Yes	20
SebW	Yes	20
lolzzzlol	Yes	12
bjprolo	Yes	10
KiernanMeister	No	400
bufogodis	No	31

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:14:51	SELL	Yes	0.027	0	$0.01
04:51:14	SELL	Yes	0.04	62	$2.48
03:47:01	BUY	Yes	0.0689999982	14	$1.00
03:46:25	BUY	No	0.95	48	$45.14
03:46:25	SELL	Yes	0.05	48	$2.38
03:22:44	BUY	Yes	0.0384208754	48	$1.83
20:52:46	BUY	Yes	0.0453872712	22	$1.00
17:25:07	SELL	No	0.981	1	$0.62
15:07:59	SELL	No	0.979	1	$0.62
08:33:57	SELL	Yes	0.01	20	$0.20
08:33:51	BUY	No	0.9564083333	120	$114.77
08:33:50	BUY	No	0.93	400	$372.00
08:33:50	BUY	No	0.939999999	21	$19.40
08:33:50	BUY	No	0.939999999	21	$19.40
17:01:36	SELL	Yes	0.1	31	$3.10
16:36:36	SELL	No	0.88	9	$8.00
16:34:47	BUY	Yes	0.12	31	$3.72
16:28:33	BUY	Yes	0.109999989	9	$1.00