PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SebW

0xf2f2df41cd3ff33147e622869ac052ce5ad2d1f0

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$57.0k
Markets traded
1,023
Open portfolio
$58.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,023
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4800.465$23.25$0.75
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · No0.8700.880$17.60+$0.20
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.6000.600$12.00+$0.00
Will CJ Abrams be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? · Yes0.0700.065$1.30$0.10
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.1400.125$1.29$0.15
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.042$0.83$0.17
Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.0800.035$0.70$0.90
Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.0700.030$0.61$0.79
Will Vincent Keymer Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament · Yes0.0700.072$0.41+$0.01
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0300.034$0.34+$0.04
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.1000.009$0.19$1.81
Will VARREL Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 · U 1.50.0500.005$0.10$0.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 410m and 420m? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01$0.79
Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01$1.99
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be greater than $450M at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2900.001$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:41Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.398004002$7.96
08-03 01:30Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.59$11.80
08-03 01:15Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.57$11.40
08-03 00:50Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.54$10.80
08-03 00:30Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?SELL0.51$10.20
08-02 23:27Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?SELL0.26$5.20
08-02 22:55Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?SELL0.49$9.80
08-02 21:53Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?SELL0.32$0.49
08-02 21:32Government shutdown by October 1?SELL0.18$3.60
08-02 20:52Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz TournamentSELL0.23$0.46
08-02 20:37Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.62$3.06
08-02 20:01Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?SELL0.32$6.40
08-02 19:43Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?SELL0.17$0.85
08-02 17:54Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)SELL0.69$27.60
08-02 17:39Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?SELL0.045$0.45