PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SebW

0xf2f2df41cd3ff33147e622869ac052ce5ad2d1f0

Realised P&L
$-6.7k
Volume
$254.8k
Markets traded
4,393
Open portfolio
$89.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,393
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.9300.885$17.70$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 23? · No0.7800.775$15.50$0.10
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6600.665$13.30+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on September 23? · No0.6500.625$12.50$0.50
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Art Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.6500.590$11.80$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 23? · No0.6500.575$11.50$1.50
Will Mexico win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? · Yes0.4800.470$3.38$0.07
Will Tre Tucker have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3300.145$2.90$3.70
Will Valencia finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? · Yes0.0400.025$0.49$0.31
Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0450.010$0.20$0.69
Will Jess Burns win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election? · Yes0.1500.005$0.11$2.89
Will Huang Hsiu-fang win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? · Yes0.0300.005$0.10$0.50
Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0900.004$0.07$1.73
Will Richard Štěpán be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? · Yes0.2100.004$0.07$4.13
Will Elon tweet 1320-1359 times in September 2026? · Yes0.0300.001$0.01$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 14:02Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?BUY0.58$29.00
09-22 13:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 23?BUY0.51$10.20
09-22 13:36No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.62$5.29
09-22 13:32Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 24?BUY0.37$6.16
09-22 13:19Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?SELL0.62$12.40
09-22 13:11Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.78$15.60
09-22 12:54Will Split be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?SELL0.081$1.62
09-22 12:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 23?BUY0.64$6.05
09-22 12:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 23?BUY0.63$5.04
09-22 12:02Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.57$11.40
09-22 12:01Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.803$8.03
09-22 11:52Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?SELL0.17$3.40
09-22 11:37Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $166 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2$4.00
09-22 11:25Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?SELL0.08$0.24
09-22 11:25Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 24?BUY0.91$4.55