PolyBot

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Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.4 on October 16, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.04 to 0.28. 47 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.152020
0.541636
0.5591127
0.58120247
0.7237284
0.7396380
0.7480460
0.7719479
0.8251530
0.8425555
0.8520575
0.8720595

Spread0.13Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.021212
0.011628

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.981212
0.991628

Spread0.13Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.852020
0.461636
0.4591127
0.42120247
0.2837284
0.2796380
0.2680460
0.2319479
0.1851530
0.1625555
0.1520575
0.1320595

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes111.52
linzy996Yes104
Milin-dcYes100
johnyjoYes73.33
AMAM13Yes70.95
clazzy1Yes69
televisionloudYes20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes16
ViewbotYes10.67
2B9SYes10
udumbdumbYes10
CarabaoYes5
DerDonNo314
HyperboreanBryanCaplanFanNo122.35
0xa5ef…2966No59.12
SchnitzelwienerNo55.05
RewardsProductionNo20
cigarettesNo20
a5533No9.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:00:22BUYYes0.14999999257$1.00
16:31:42SELLNo0.514$2.04
16:31:31BUYYes0.254$1.00
07:53:11BUYYes0.220408163349$10.80
04:57:19BUYYes0.220$4.00
04:34:22BUYYes0.194053571484$16.30
01:31:17BUYNo0.7346178344314$230.67
23:09:39BUYYes0.310$3.00
21:48:18BUYYes0.2920$5.80
20:43:30BUYNo0.755$3.75
20:35:37BUYYes0.2520$5.00
20:16:51BUYNo0.7660$45.60
19:48:19BUYYes0.2720$5.40
18:26:52BUYNo0.852$2.00
17:23:52BUYNo0.849999995724$20.00
15:27:04BUYYes0.1580$12.00
13:32:44SELLYes0.136$0.78
13:32:43BUYYes0.137$0.91
12:44:50SELLYes0.097$0.63
11:40:17BUYYes0.0840$3.20
10:47:46BUYNo0.9420$18.80
10:27:08BUYNo0.9410$9.40
10:27:08BUYNo0.9410$9.40
07:46:22BUYNo0.9220$18.40
07:46:11BUYNo0.92100$92.00