Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.968. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.955. Range 0.955 to 0.974. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	40	40
0.996	956	996
0.997	47	1,043
0.998	70	1,113
0.999	1,140	2,253

Spread0.055Mid0.968

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.940	5	5
0.921	50	55
0.920	500	555
0.910	500	1,055
0.860	56	1,111
0.620	10	1,121
0.570	6	1,127
0.537	5	1,132
0.536	40	1,172
0.501	200	1,372
0.500	500	1,872
0.440	100	1,972

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.060	5	5
0.079	50	55
0.080	500	555
0.090	500	1,055
0.140	56	1,111
0.380	10	1,121
0.430	6	1,127
0.463	5	1,132
0.464	40	1,172
0.499	200	1,372
0.500	500	1,872
0.560	100	1,972

Spread0.055Mid0.033

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	40	40
0.004	956	996
0.003	47	1,043
0.002	70	1,113
0.001	1,140	2,253

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
eNakeVets	Yes	5,875
fElon	Yes	3,159.79
gmeowcl	Yes	1,561.42
alpheclabs	Yes	1,207.66
Glued	Yes	865
aenews2	Yes	805.67
0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812	Yes	600.19
0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171	Yes	423
sichup	Yes	420
Giannis2026	Yes	408.57
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	355
LosingEverything12312312323123	Yes	328.94
PontiusPilate	Yes	295.84
gnjich	Yes	250
macdone	Yes	240
eratoxtenex	Yes	200
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd	Yes	187.99
0x94d929eA781Ba4FD45711C81F7581B574919Bc47-1771307973415	Yes	180
warptrading	Yes	172.41
0x64cd5c0AD73d59B5334b0Ce6e784200ffd501c99-1761121456892	Yes	135

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:29:45	SELL	Yes	0.9502695932	44	$41.35
16:34:57	SELL	Yes	0.951	15	$13.98
14:59:40	SELL	Yes	0.951	4	$3.40
12:09:33	BUY	No	0.0489999982	20	$1.00
07:04:13	SELL	Yes	0.947	3	$2.70
05:17:51	SELL	No	0.004	44	$0.18
15:57:24	SELL	No	0.02	99	$1.98
15:57:16	SELL	No	0.02	100	$2.00
15:57:07	SELL	No	0.0356	100	$3.56
19:27:55	BUY	No	0.05	20	$1.00
18:06:04	BUY	No	0.05	24	$1.20
01:42:45	SELL	No	0.04	8	$0.30
12:58:04	SELL	No	0.04	42	$1.68
11:55:36	SELL	Yes	0.95	75	$71.25
16:54:55	SELL	No	0.04	5	$0.20
09:07:25	SELL	No	0.04	109	$4.36
22:49:54	SELL	No	0.045	20	$0.90
22:48:09	SELL	No	0.06	41	$2.46
18:10:07	SELL	Yes	0.93	0	$0.01
10:58:18	SELL	No	0.06	20	$1.20
10:57:09	SELL	No	0.0615	80	$4.92
06:25:18	BUY	No	0.08	35	$2.79
06:25:16	BUY	No	0.06	44	$2.62
06:23:36	SELL	Yes	0.94187	30	$28.26
22:30:33	SELL	No	0.04	21	$0.84