PolyBot

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Traders

sichup

0x30fa4f743ce7c48f4e8faf70c8b6481810a8079d

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$36.0k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$561.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2000.968$406.35+$322.35
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6080.774$154.90+$33.30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$178.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 06:19Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.608$121.60
07-08 02:16Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.2$84.00
04-16 08:36Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.7$105.00
11-10 02:14Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL0.902$4.7k
11-07 06:22Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.837$4.4k
10-28 06:51Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.43$6.45
10-28 06:50Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.429$17.16
10-28 06:44Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY0.427$25.62