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Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?

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Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-09
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.16. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.16 to 0.34. 70 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19335335
0.27473809
0.2924833
0.4210843
0.4313855
0.5015870
0.52125995
0.531201,115
0.55101,125
0.56101,135
0.57101,145
0.58201,165

Spread0.06Mid0.16

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13161161
0.0420181
0.0330211
0.0240251
0.0197348

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87161161
0.9620181
0.9730211
0.9840251
0.9997348

Spread0.06Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81335335
0.73473809
0.7124833
0.5810843
0.5713855
0.5015870
0.48125995
0.471201,115
0.45101,125
0.44101,135
0.43101,145
0.42201,165

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
KiruaTradingYes532.54
OklmntraderYes335.49
EQMresolutionYes49.65
KELBIYes26
pootytherewardfarmerYes23
TltbkbtYes7.14
suntoriYes5.71
Dr.PNLYes2.85
0xa5ef…2966No747.5
kongehundNo659.49
0x507b51630295906bC404c52Ef0456A7BDbEC0742-1769736987265No86.21
AJSVNo82.51
justagrosshopperNo43
TemuOracleNo29.98
0xDa38973ac41a326632924BEeadB29ED25b89A013-1781446588612No20
subanonNo6.05
WSENo5
joe48691No2.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:35:58SELLYes0.13166$21.58
12:27:30SELLYes0.1610$1.60
12:25:00BUYYes0.1729$4.93
11:33:22BUYYes0.1742$7.14
11:28:22BUYYes0.16123$19.68
11:09:54BUYYes0.1926$4.94
11:05:06BUYNo0.86999998026$5.26
11:05:06BUYNo0.8027900347659$529.43
08:23:37SELLYes0.25$1.06
07:53:12BUYNo0.786$4.68
07:49:43BUYNo0.7720$15.40
06:04:04SELLYes0.2311$2.53
06:02:39BUYNo0.76999970353$2.00
05:56:54BUYNo0.7523$17.25
05:19:33BUYYes0.2910$2.90
04:22:21BUYYes0.289340763428$8.12
18:07:01BUYYes0.2811$3.08
17:45:43BUYYes0.27999990487$2.00
06:27:45BUYNo0.7210$7.19
05:18:22BUYYes0.2420$4.80
04:13:22BUYYes0.2533$8.25
02:12:07BUYNo0.7320$14.60
20:03:22BUYNo0.7216$11.30
16:21:33BUYYes0.36$1.71
14:54:03SELLYes0.273$0.77