PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

subanon

0xd43e13de66901724aaa82c2b31ca98cda18a49c3

Realised P&L
$-316.50
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$18.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4000.345$4.54−$0.72
TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 51.5 · Over0.4600.460$2.16+$0.00
Spread: Georgia (-1.5) · Auburn0.3270.306$2.00−$0.14
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026? · No0.6300.958$1.64+$0.56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9400.973$1.60+$0.05
TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 49.5 · Over0.5000.535$1.16+$0.08
Auburn vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5 · Over0.6600.645$1.06−$0.02
Nebraska vs. Oregon: O/U 49.5 · Under0.4600.445$1.04−$0.04
Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 47.5 · Over0.5600.535$1.03−$0.05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes0.0410.038$0.97−$0.08
Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: O/U 73.5 · Under0.6000.530$0.95−$0.13
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.003$0.50−$1.60
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes0.3200.055$0.18−$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 21:12Auburn vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5BUY0.6599998533$1.08
10-17 21:11Spread: Georgia (-1.5)BUY0.3269999254$1.07
10-17 21:11Spread: Georgia (-1.5)BUY0.3279999117$1.07
10-17 21:11Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: O/U 73.5BUY0.6$1.08
10-17 15:19Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.48$1.08
10-17 15:19Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.48$1.08
10-17 15:19Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.48$1.08
10-17 15:19Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.48$1.08
10-17 15:18Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.48$1.08
10-17 15:18Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.48$1.08
10-17 15:18Spread: Buffalo (-7.5)BUY0.4799999895$7.34
10-17 14:02UMass vs. BuffaloBUY0.7199999569$4.01
10-17 14:00TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 51.5BUY0.4599998211$1.08
10-17 14:00TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 51.5BUY0.4599998211$1.08
10-17 13:57Spread: Army (-2.5)BUY0.509999997$30.75