subanon
0xd43e13de66901724aaa82c2b31ca98cda18a49c3
- Realised P&L
- $-316.50
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $18.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.345 | $4.54 | −$0.72 |
| TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.460 | $2.16 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Georgia (-1.5) · Auburn | 0.327 | 0.306 | $2.00 | −$0.14 |
| Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.958 | $1.64 | +$0.56 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.973 | $1.60 | +$0.05 |
| TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.535 | $1.16 | +$0.08 |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5 · Over | 0.660 | 0.645 | $1.06 | −$0.02 |
| Nebraska vs. Oregon: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.445 | $1.04 | −$0.04 |
| Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.535 | $1.03 | −$0.05 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.038 | $0.97 | −$0.08 |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: O/U 73.5 · Under | 0.600 | 0.530 | $0.95 | −$0.13 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $0.50 | −$1.60 |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.055 | $0.18 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.88at 0.467East Carolina vs. UAB: O/U 47.5
- +$27.15at 0.036Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$25.37at 0.650Memphis vs. Tulane: O/U 61.5
- +$12.03at 0.798Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$10.74at 0.560Spread: Western Kentucky (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 21:12 | Auburn vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.6599998533 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 21:11 | Spread: Georgia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3269999254 | $1.07 |
| 10-17 21:11 | Spread: Georgia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3279999117 | $1.07 |
| 10-17 21:11 | Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: O/U 73.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:19 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:19 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:19 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:19 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:18 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:18 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 15:18 | Spread: Buffalo (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4799999895 | $7.34 |
| 10-17 14:02 | UMass vs. Buffalo | BUY | 0.7199999569 | $4.01 |
| 10-17 14:00 | TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.4599998211 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 14:00 | TCU vs. Baylor: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.4599998211 | $1.08 |
| 10-17 13:57 | Spread: Army (-2.5) | BUY | 0.509999997 | $30.75 |