PolyBot

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Traders

Tltbkbt

0x73ab8630e1bbc3c24eedfc6e374d3d958fb85468

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$269.1k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$27.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.1500.848$26.85+$22.10
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.0700.001$0.64$89.36
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$20.00
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$20.00
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$208.99
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$377.43
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$23.01
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$6.00
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$3.96
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$20.00
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.50
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21? · No0.4300.000$0.00$7.00
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$75.00
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$250.00
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 22:35Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1499999984$4.75
09-18 05:32Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0698809058$90.00
09-06 08:05Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.0967398665$20.00
09-06 07:19Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.3128588264$50.44
09-06 01:18Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.3101346145$50.00
09-06 01:12Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.2513466516$127.20
08-30 08:15Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.1$48.00
08-15 17:59Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.1096272628$20.00
08-15 10:30Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.1198807187$20.00
08-14 22:28Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.0299999971$10.00
08-10 06:35Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?SELL0.999$104.95
08-09 17:45Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-09 17:30Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.6186674825$65.00
08-04 10:39Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.08$0.98
07-25 19:11Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?BUY0.1756633006$10.88