Tltbkbt
0x73ab8630e1bbc3c24eedfc6e374d3d958fb85468
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $269.1k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $27.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$963.59at 0.298Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
- +$634.61at 0.291Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
- +$302.76at 0.171Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
- +$69.67at 0.104Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$55.19at 0.540Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:35 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1499999984 | $4.75 |
| 09-18 05:32 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.0698809058 | $90.00 |
| 09-06 08:05 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.0967398665 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 07:19 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.3128588264 | $50.44 |
| 09-06 01:18 | Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.3101346145 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 01:12 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.2513466516 | $127.20 |
| 08-30 08:15 | Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.1 | $48.00 |
| 08-15 17:59 | Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.1096272628 | $20.00 |
| 08-15 10:30 | Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.1198807187 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 22:28 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 06:35 | Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $104.95 |
| 08-09 17:45 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 17:30 | Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.6186674825 | $65.00 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.98 |
| 07-25 19:11 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.1756633006 | $10.88 |