PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KELBI

0x2df50477e68a95a28ff76233e8f770b9dd6557c8

Realised P&L
$24.93
Volume
$35.2k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$219.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.710$68.76+$4.84
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.6880.660$56.69−$2.43
Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next? · Yes0.0570.201$26.44+$18.98
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3080.340$15.99+$1.48
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes0.2200.280$12.60+$2.70
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.949$9.49+$4.69
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · No0.5500.650$8.69+$1.34
Will Jean Silva fight Lerone Murphy next? · Yes0.1400.195$7.21+$2.04
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.8580.975$3.90+$0.47
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes0.0650.039$3.42−$2.27
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2100.040$2.21−$9.39
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? · Yes0.2300.108$2.16−$2.44
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.007$1.50−$2.70
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00−$4.40
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:08Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?BUY0.056$2.33
10-26 16:16Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?BUY0.55$7.35
10-26 16:16Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?SELL0.459077381$3.09
10-26 16:07Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?BUY0.55$3.70
10-26 16:04Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?SELL0.54$17.82
10-26 16:00Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?BUY0.22$9.90
10-26 15:59Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?BUY0.55$18.15
10-25 21:29Will Jean Silva fight Lerone Murphy next?BUY0.14$5.18
10-25 20:39Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?BUY0.073$3.36
10-25 20:29Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?BUY0.062$3.70
10-25 20:29Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?BUY0.0522781641$3.76
10-23 12:08UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.53$41.61
10-17 22:02Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.66$63.92
10-11 19:15Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$4.80
10-11 19:11Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.021$4.20