PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WSE

0x9aa10fca304258ba2a4b4271de380ba3c5f32259

Realised P&L
$160.49
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$558.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.8480.795$182.02−$12.22
Is Earth flat? · No0.9940.995$99.50+$0.10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9290.971$96.73+$4.09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9160.955$95.47+$3.87
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9040.981$75.92+$5.92
Will Apple’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026? · No0.9300.935$4.67+$0.03
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.9200.680$3.40−$1.20
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31? · Yes0.5500.140$0.70−$2.05
Will Trump say "NATO" this week? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$4.15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$5.90
Will Trump say "Love Trump" or "Loves Trump" in April? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Trump say "Trump Was Right About Everything" in April? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? · No0.0560.000$0.00−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 14:31Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.83$33.20
10-02 12:50Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.83$4.98
10-01 18:11Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.8064705882$41.13
10-01 18:09Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.82$24.60
10-01 18:08Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.77$4.62
09-01 16:32Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?BUY0.998$29.94
08-25 18:33Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.998$29.94
08-25 18:31Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2026?BUY0.96$9.60
08-23 16:52Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.88$6.16
08-23 16:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.961$19.12
08-23 14:42Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.954$36.25
08-23 14:42Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.986$98.60
08-23 14:41Is Earth flat?BUY0.994$94.43
08-23 14:39Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?BUY0.92$19.87
08-20 16:51Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?BUY0.998$9.98