PolyBot

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Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.027 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.014 to 0.497. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0291010
0.0498797
0.050400497
0.05820517
0.30130547
0.30225572
0.30420592
0.30820612
0.31220632
0.3147639
0.31713652
0.48634685

Spread0.028Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0017070

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9997070

Spread0.028Mid0.985

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9711010
0.9518797
0.950400497
0.94220517
0.69930547
0.69825572
0.69620592
0.69220612
0.68820632
0.6867639
0.68313652
0.51434685

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fcwlYes200
xtxpleasecallmeYes191.46
.MentheYes49.99
LornaPredictsYes43.58
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes40
balthazarYes20
mustbethewaterYes17.57
GingerMcKennaYes17.05
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
hfvYes8.52
0xa5ef…2966No557.81
gavinfundaNo20
cigarettesNo20
HE110W0R1DNo5.36
productsNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:30:24BUYYes0.027999999945$1.27
00:11:27BUYNo0.99910$9.99
22:16:31BUYNo0.99920$19.97
22:16:30BUYNo0.9994$4.00
22:16:30BUYNo0.99926$25.97
09:54:51BUYNo0.99730$29.91
09:54:49BUYNo0.997178835820$19.94
04:18:22BUYNo0.99720$19.94
04:18:10BUYNo0.99710$9.97
04:18:09BUYNo0.99610$9.96
04:18:07BUYNo0.99620$19.92
10:24:40BUYNo0.99710$9.97
07:02:30BUYNo0.99510$9.95
04:41:03BUYYes0.0315$0.15
02:07:46SELLYes0.0035$0.01
21:50:00BUYNo0.99710$9.97
21:50:00BUYNo0.99718$17.95
21:49:58BUYNo0.99529072684$3.97
17:46:19BUYNo0.99513$12.74
23:45:34BUYYes0.030105768434$1.01
18:11:21BUYNo0.99527$26.86
16:17:12BUYYes0.03120$0.62
14:48:30BUYNo0.99530$29.85
21:03:09BUYNo0.99531$30.38
21:03:09BUYNo0.99530$29.85