PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-19
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.099. down 0.091 over the period, from 0.190. Range 0.001 to 0.260. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1972020
0.1982040
0.2001050
0.2272070
0.282777
0.300784
0.332792
0.3838100
0.38920120
0.3908128
0.39730158
0.4329167

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8032020
0.8022040
0.8001050
0.7732070
0.718777
0.700784
0.668792
0.6178100
0.61120120
0.6108128
0.60330158
0.5689167

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
blastimasYes300
NotAnIdiotYes125.21
AJSVYes52.55
plainfolderYes50
Fuadkrm7Yes47.8
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes36.61
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes26.93
TENETENETYes10
xibuxixiYes10
a5533Yes5.46
wwderYes5
triklozoidYes5
GA6300BDYes2.43
YesHerrNo300
0xa5ef…2966No245.99
AlwaysHereNo36.06
BithubNo26
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433No23.27
cigarettesNo20
Henry0714No12.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:57:48BUYYes0.002300$0.60
03:26:06BUYNo0.99926$25.97
19:45:45BUYNo0.92899996471$1.00
19:45:45BUYNo0.92925$23.26
19:09:09BUYNo0.92899999772$2.00
19:09:09BUYNo0.92920$18.56
15:51:26BUYNo0.919277315636$33.15
07:41:29SELLYes0.19110$1.91
04:57:44BUYNo0.808999997312$10.00
04:14:55BUYYes0.25717$4.28
03:42:22BUYYes0.288999999219$5.51
03:18:55BUYNo0.9289999995$4.80
01:27:58BUYNo0.92899999135$4.69
20:06:46BUYNo0.92933$30.42
20:06:46BUYNo0.92940$37.16
19:36:13BUYNo0.92899999667$6.82
17:15:04BUYNo0.92899998886$5.31
06:02:01BUYYes0.029521865910$0.30
05:31:44SELLYes0.00424$0.10
05:20:05SELLYes0.00424$0.10
05:07:47SELLYes0.0110$0.10
22:11:55BUYNo0.9820$19.60
11:13:57SELLNo0.9310$9.49
11:06:52BUYNo0.9810$9.80
09:12:58BUYNo0.9810$10.00