AlwaysHere
0xbb9655f5883280f926934474b21437d3f7339545
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $274.8k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $74.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$827.26at 0.369Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
- +$716.02at 0.220Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?
- +$585.91at 0.183Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
- +$564.25at 0.370Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 11:11 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-07 11:09 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month? | BUY | 0.2476923077 | $6.44 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month? | BUY | 0.2476923077 | $6.44 |
| 10-02 11:57 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-30 10:07 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month? | BUY | 0.95 | $87.40 |
| 09-27 10:29 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.998 | $267.41 |
| 09-14 09:57 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.06 |
| 09-13 13:36 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-12 10:19 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.60 |
| 09-11 12:03 | Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month? | BUY | 0.8137974684 | $64.29 |
| 08-23 20:24 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? | BUY | 0.93 | $128.93 |
| 08-10 14:44 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | SELL | 0.44 | $43.99 |
| 08-10 14:44 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 07-28 20:18 | Megaquake by July 31? | BUY | 0.0196670694 | $5.00 |