PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. Unchanged over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.05 to 0.43. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.161,3571,357
0.173,2004,557
0.181824,739
0.402354,974
0.4154,979
0.446965,675
0.455206,195
0.461,2507,445
0.511,7529,197
0.561,91811,115
0.6012011,235
0.612,38013,615

Spread0.03Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.139898
0.09150248
0.05350598
0.0430628
0.033871,015
0.027401,755
0.016972,451

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.879898
0.91150248
0.95350598
0.9630628
0.973871,015
0.987401,755
0.996972,451

Spread0.03Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.841,3571,357
0.833,2004,557
0.821824,739
0.602354,974
0.5954,979
0.566965,675
0.555206,195
0.541,2507,445
0.491,7529,197
0.441,91811,115
0.4012011,235
0.392,38013,615

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xdc3E831cadYes736.24
AlphaGoooYes200
murkotYes93.75
AlexielLucifenYes14.29
FihdrzgddYes12.8
0xa5ef…2966No348.72
HaradwaithNo300
AJSVNo169
pppnnNo100
gavinfundaNo50
lolzzzlolNo48.08
cigarettesNo40
crypto-futur3No1.28

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:22:48SELLYes0.140$0.03
23:17:18BUYNo0.85999984361$1.10
23:17:17BUYNo0.8613$11.01
23:17:06BUYNo0.865$4.30
23:17:06BUYNo0.8610$8.60
23:17:05SELLNo0.844$3.36
23:17:05BUYNo0.8622$18.92
19:12:32BUYYes0.1694$15.00
06:42:39BUYYes0.0934051967834$77.90
06:42:38BUYYes0.11100$11.00
06:42:38BUYNo0.914$12.60
04:20:24SELLYes0.07181$12.70
10:14:53BUYNo0.9318$17.11
10:14:53BUYNo0.9317$15.45
07:51:57BUYNo0.939$8.37
15:18:12BUYNo0.9320$18.60
07:35:20SELLYes0.08119$9.49
07:27:50SELLNo0.91119$107.93
07:27:47SELLNo0.92100$92.00
07:27:45SELLNo0.9350$46.50
07:27:23BUYYes0.07300$21.00
11:05:41SELLYes0.0615$0.88
08:35:32BUYNo0.9410$9.40
08:35:00BUYYes0.069999996514$1.00
14:11:02BUYNo0.974$3.88