PolyBot

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Traders

crypto-futur3

0x31cc0df4bd419abac4d0a13ac110b26558a4ea6b

Realised P&L
$-0.11
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$440.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9500.945$113.38−$0.60
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.9950.994$96.86−$0.10
Will Miroslav Sokol win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? · No0.9990.998$30.11−$0.05
Will Peter Cibulka win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? · No0.9970.997$30.08−$0.02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.8540.858$17.71+$0.08
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9990.999$5.19−$0.00
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9980.998$5.19−$0.00
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9990.997$5.18−$0.01
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9950.993$5.16−$0.01
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? · No0.9970.997$5.11−$0.00
Will Flávio Lúcio win the Governor of Paraíba election? · No0.9990.999$5.11−$0.00
Will Nilvan Ferreira win the Governor of Paraíba election? · No0.9990.996$5.09−$0.02
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.8980.894$4.67−$0.02
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9610.954$4.16−$0.03
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.7100.740$3.87+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:47Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.95$113.98
10-01 05:47Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.995$96.96
10-01 05:47Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8539999972$17.63
10-01 05:02Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?BUY0.78$0.95
10-01 04:35Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.999$2.36
10-01 04:35Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.999$2.36
10-01 04:34Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.999$1.05
10-01 04:34Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.9981246432$1.05
10-01 04:34Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?BUY0.89$1.78
10-01 04:08Will Jalen Duren play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?BUY0.9589999982$1.05
10-01 04:08Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?BUY0.9719999926$1.05
10-01 04:08Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.999$1.05
10-01 04:04Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.2199999665$1.05
10-01 04:04Will Megan Moroney win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.999$1.05
10-01 04:04Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?BUY0.996$3.26